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2026 midterm elections: What the results may mean for energy affordability and reliable power

October 8, 2026

Energy—demand, access to reliable power, and affordability—are key sustainability issues that may have an impact on the upcoming midterm elections and the policy environment that takes shape with a new Congress. Energy affordability is triggering populist resistance to data centers in many municipalities. Grid reliability is a critical business issue, especially given the increased severity and frequency of extreme weather events impacting aging power grids.

In our latest take on the 2026 midterm elections, we lay out several possibilities CEOs should scenario plan for, including:    

  • A divided Congress—with a Democratic House and a reduced Republican Senate majority—is what many political analysts have long been projecting will be the most probable result this fall.
  • A Democratic sweep of the House and Senate—now considered more conceivable than was thought possible earlier this year.
  • Conversely, Republicans’ keeping control of both chambers would yield a reinvigorated majority that would double down on the current policy trajectory.

Read our full report for insights on energy policy, AI oversight, executive action, government funding, and public and targeted oversight. We cover the steps that CEOs can take to position their companies to succeed regardless of how the midterms play out.

Midterms rundowy

Sustainability watch

Here are the topics we have our eyes on. More coming soon!

  • Large energy user survey
  • SBTi and reverifying sustainability targets
  • Rethinking weather risk to build resilience
  • Agentic commerce
  • Energy affordability
  • Latest insights on energy, procurement, and construction

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