US Deals 2026 outlook

Asset and wealth management

  • Publication
  • 4 minute read
  • December 16, 2025

Asset and wealth management dealmaking remains robust

Dealmaking momentum remains strong in asset and wealth management (AWM). The third quarter’s 15% increase in activity from the prior quarter was led by a 27% jump in wealth management transactions (75 announced versus 59 in the second quarter). The Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts are reducing financing costs, increasing the appeal of dealmaking for both strategic and financial acquirers. Buyers are both deploying capital and employing leverage to get deals done. Also propelling activity is the confidence investors have in the benefits of consolidation. 

Optimism about the transaction pipeline for the next 12 months is growing amid signals of additional Fed rate cuts. While the number and size of future cuts remain uncertain, further easing is anticipated. Deal momentum also remains strong despite closing timelines that are longer than those seen during the 2021–22 deal activity surge. Dealmakers continue to pursue growth and consolidation opportunities to scale their platforms, acquire new assets under management, and protect operating margins.

Top themes include:

  • Retail access to private markets and alternative assets could expand as federal policy shifts.
    • Labor Dept. and Securities and Exchange Commission frameworks could open new channels into 401(k)s.
  • New vehicles are being designed to integrate private assets into model portfolios and retirement accounts.
    • Evergreen funds are the preferred structure for long-term retail participation while active exchange-traded funds (ETFs), interval funds, and semi-liquid hybrids gain traction.
  • Partnerships and targeted acquisitions reshape how managers scale distribution and origination in retail and wealth channels.
    • Some firms pursue acquisitions and ownership models; others collaborate on joint product development and shared distribution.
  • Private credit may struggle to attract AUM as higher rates and tighter liquidity test borrowers’ ability to repay loans.
    • Recent negative news forces greater scrutiny of credit underwriting standards, valuation practices, and portfolio transparency as investors reassess manager discipline and question transparency and model resilience.
  • Liquidity constraints spur rapid growth in private asset secondary markets as investors seek flexibility and faster capital recycling.
    • GP-led continuation vehicles, LP portfolio sales, and evergreen structures expand liquidity options, meanwhile leading firms increase exposure to secondaries through M&A to accelerate platform growth.
  • Managers move beyond generative AI pilots to firm-wide transformation, using it in marketing, distribution, and product engineering.
    • The focus now is on measurable improvement in efficiency and client experience.

27%

Growth of wealth management deal volume contributes the most to 3Q AWM activity, highlighting its attractiveness to private equity.

Key M&A trends set to influence asset and wealth management

Shifting investor preferences, rising costs, and fundraising headwinds are converging to create a powerful catalyst for dealmaking. For example, investors are seeking diversified managers offering exposure to infrastructure, real assets, and credit. This shift is spurring a wave of consolidation, minority stake sales, and platform acquisitions to strengthen fundraising competitiveness and operational efficiencies. 

  • Rising operating costs are igniting a new wave of deal activity. As fundraising cycles lengthen and access to LP capital tightens, asset managers increasingly are turning to stake sales, minority investors, and strategic partnerships to secure growth capital. 
  • Another key challenge lies in the build-out of retail and wealth platforms, which could put further pressure on margins, raise distribution costs, and heighten demands for liquidity, transparency, and reporting. Meeting these expectations requires investment in technology, operations, and compliance, often stretching the resources of small and mid-sized managers.
  • Wealth management M&A remains on a historic run, with 2025 activity expected to surpass 2024 levels. Private equity capital continues to flow into the sector. The drivers are clear: targeted firms offer recurring, fee-based revenue streams, scalable platforms that benefit from centralization, low capital needs, and opportunities for multiple arbitrage upon exit.  
  • Yet the playbook is evolving. The most sophisticated acquirers are no longer focusing solely on asset aggregation. They’re redesigning transactions to address long-term succession, operational continuity, and scalability. Full ownership is now preferred over majority stakes along with converting affiliated practices from independent contractor models to W-2 structures and embarking on integrating disparate practices. This enables tighter control over client experience, client propositions, technology integration, and centralized investment management, while giving advisors clearer career, rewards, and succession pathways. 
  • The emphasis on shared platforms and infrastructure, cultural alignment and leadership continuity marks a maturing phase of consolidation. It’s less about short-term practice roll-ups and more about durable enterprise building. As the industry moves from fragmentation to platformization, deal quality, not just deal count, will define the next chapter of wealth management value creation.  

“Shareholders are demanding higher returns, investors want more choice, and technology spend requires greater capital investment: these pain points will likely spur more AWM dealmaking.”

Greg McGahan,US Financial Services Deals Leader and AWM Deals Leader

The bottom line: What AWM dealmakers should watch in 2026

Deal activity in AWM remains robust, underscored by rising transaction volumes and improving financial conditions helped by expected interest rate cuts. The market’s momentum reflects a broader focus on asset growth, product innovation, and consolidation to combat fee pressure. These drivers, plus the potential for expanded retail access to alternative assets, will remain key trends as managers look to access new sources of AUM while maintaining or improving firm profitability. 

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