US Deals 2026 outlook

Pharmaceutical and life sciences

  • Publication
  • 4 minute read
  • December 16, 2025

Strategic dealmaking in biopharma should accelerate in 2026 as innovation and stability converge

The pharmaceutical sector enters 2026 with confidence and ample capital to deploy following a strong second half of 2025 defined by precision-driven biopharma M&A. Acquirers are concentrating on distinctive science and partnerships that move promising assets faster through development while preserving options. Dealmakers are prioritizing disciplined deployment of capital and meticulous portfolio-shaping to secure high-quality innovation and scarce assets; these actions can offset looming market loss-of-exclusivity that will ramp up over the next four years and help sustain growth. The result is a market that will reward speed and judgment—deals that link capital to clinical data, and integration plans geared towards accelerated value capture to bring the frontier of science to patients faster.

Note: Medtech is reported separately. Click here to learn more.

  • Precision-led growth will continue in 2026. Activity in 2025 was skewed toward targeted and asset-centric transactions that filled gaps in pipelines. Buyers emphasized innovation in standard of care therapies and disciplined integration, favoring assets with clean safety profiles, line-of-sight to pivotal data, and a credible path to launch readiness or accelerated uptake. This mindset rewarded acquirers that paired scientific selectivity with pragmatic dealmaking.

  • Therapeutic focus intensifies and will drive capital allocation. Financial and strategic interest will continue to prioritize therapeutic areas and therapies that can reset standards of care. The pace of innovation in cardiometabolic, CNS, oncology, and immunology remains strong, and we expect these therapeutic areas to see healthy M&A activity in 2026.

  • Premiums for innovation will continue and likely accelerate. Truly differentiated clinical profiles continue to command elevated premiums. Scarcity value and competitive processes are producing outsized pricing for assets with meaningful patient benefits, clear regulatory paths, and credible commercial ramps. While we have seen a preference more recently for biopharma M&A in the $5Bto $15B range, the magnitude of industry LOE headwinds is getting more pronounced in the next few years. This could push companies to larger scale M&A as the premium to definitive therapeutic area strength coupled with IP runway becomes greater.

  • Investment power meets opportunity. Sector balance sheets and cash positions remain strong and valuations are now somewhat more predictable, setting 2026 up for active M&A levels. With financing conditions stabilizing and equity windows reopening selectively, acquirers can deploy capital across a wider range of structures—minority, majority, and staged options—without sacrificing governance or returns.  

  • Cross-border collaboration deepens. China-to-the-West licensing and co-development programs are now a core vector in corporate and business development strategies as Chinese biotechs move efficiently through trials and scale manufacturing rapidly. Western pharma is using structured licenses, regional development and commercialization rights, and financial tools to access innovation efficiently while managing IP, data security, and supply chain risks. Clear governance, data-segmentation protocols, and parallel manufacturing strategies are now standard features of many organizations’ long-range plans and we will see more activity in 2026.

  • Capital evolution toward alternatives continues. Private equity and structured financing are now mainstream tools to bridge the gap from late-stage development to commercialization via royalties, options, and minority interests that balance risk and control. For EPS challenged innovators, these structures increasingly provide runway and flexibility, and we expect this trend to continue into 2026. We also expect private equity to remain active in the pharma tech and pharma services sectors in the new year.

PLS deal values and volumes
2025 YTD PLS deals
$47B

in global pharmaceutical revenue is at risk on average over the next four years.

Source: IQVIA Institute for Human Data Science

Key market trends set to influence pharma and life sciences in M&A

2026 will combine stability with strategic urgency. As interest rates, tariffs, and government policies become more predictable, dealmakers are pivoting from wait-and-see toward proactive growth and portfolio design. We expect broader transaction diversity—from early clinical platforms that refresh pipelines to later-stage products that extend therapeutic reach and offer commercial scale and IP runway.

Themes to watch:

While the overhang of tariffs, pricing and geopolitical headwinds that held back biopharma for the first part of 2025 has somewhat receded, change remains the only constant in today’s world. C-Suite leaders will have to continue to move with speed and purpose to champion innovation that continuously delivers for shareholders.

Predictive models are sharpening the probability of technical and regulatory success (PTRS), safety, and value forecasts, compressing decision cycles and enabling cleaner bids. Embedding AI across diligence and post-close value-creation programs will define leaders.  

Improving sentiment should support listings and structured exits for biotechs. We also expect that the financing and funding environment for biotech generally will remain healthy (although selective) after some high profile exits in 2025.

Biopharma remains a long duration industry by its very nature where interest rates and discount rates will always matter. We believe this will be a positive for the sector and M&A overall, with the general expectation that 2026 will see lower relative interest rates than in 2025.

The sector is increasingly shaped by tech-enabled, empowered consumers and patients who expect a seamless, end-to-end health experience. M&A will follow where companies build the capabilities needed to bring an integrated healthcare ecosystem to life.

“LOE pressures are mounting and innovation is pushing hard at the frontier of science. M&A will pick up in 2026, and the winners will be those who deploy capital with precision, speed, and foresight.”

Roel van den Akker,US Pharma & Life Sciences Deals Leader, PwC US

The bottom line: What pharma and life sciences dealmakers should watch in 2026

Scientific momentum, capital strength, and steadier policy signals are aligning to create a favorable dealmaking backdrop. Expect focused, high-premium transactions centered on distinctive clinical science, plus greater use of flexible capital structures and cross-border partnerships. Winning teams will act early, heavily leverage analytics, and target assets where differentiation is clear and value-creation levers are tangible from day one. The edge will go to organizations that integrate diligence, regulatory planning, and manufacturing from the outset—translating clinical catalysts into faster approvals, stronger launches, and durable value creation in 2026 and beyond.

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