
The tariff ripple effect: how insurers can navigate inflation and market disruptions
Preparing for the effects of tariffs and associated inflationary trends can enable carriers to stay ahead of the underwriting cycle and manage market dislocation.
The insurance sector recorded a total deal value of $30 billion, representing 209 disclosed deals for the six-month period ending May 15, 2025. This compares to $20 billion and 297 deals for the prior six-month period ending November 15, 2024. While deal volume did decrease, the increase in announced deal value indicates sustained investor demand for the perceived stability of the overall insurance market.
Over the last six months, there have been six announced $1+ billion deals:
Note: The source used in the 2025 midyear outlook is S&P Global Market Intelligence.
We’ve seen a few notable deal trends:
While overall insurance deal volumes have decreased as market participants await clearer signals on economic and trade policies, the potential for significant, market-shaping transactions (including IPOs) remains strong. We anticipate ongoing insurance deal activity and selective and strategic dealmaking in the months ahead, likely with several high-profile transactions.
“The insurance sector continues to be attractive to investors and has remained resilient through challenging market conditions.”
Mark Friedman,Insurance Deals LeaderThe insurance industry remains an appealing sector to deploy capital but uncertainty over the economy and government policy has recently reduced sector deal volume.
Preparing for the effects of tariffs and associated inflationary trends can enable carriers to stay ahead of the underwriting cycle and manage market dislocation.
Flexible pricing strategies for insurance companies help maintain profitability and competitiveness during rising inflation and shifting economic conditions.
While the real economy seems to remain somewhat resilient, the Federal Reserve has adopted a wait-and-see approach.
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