Power under pressure: Assessing climate vulnerability and building resilience in the utilities sector

  • Blog
  • 7 minute read
  • December 01, 2025

Brett Haynie

Director, Power & Utilities Operations Transformation, PwC US

The utility saector continues to face extreme challenges. Physical assets, operations, and supply chains are being exposed to intensifying weather events. Every incremental degree of heat, every inch of rainfall, and every storm surge now carries the potential for measurable financial impact. As climate-related threats continue to intensify, they are defining business reality and are reshaping how power systems are planned, operated, and financed amid a simultaneous surge in energy demand. For industry leaders, this is not just an operational challenge, it's about developing an adaptation playbook across the system that aligns with the broader investment strategy.

At the center of this challenge are two interlocking ideas: vulnerability and resilience. Vulnerability adds on to where and how an organization’s assets, operations, and supply chains are most exposed to physical climate risk, by exploring the likelihood and extent of the impacts on the organization’s value chain. Resilience measures the ability to anticipate, absorb, and recover from those disruptions while maintaining reliability and stakeholder confidence. Quantifying both is essential to translating climate uncertainty into business intelligence. This enables utilities to see the financial implications of risk more clearly, strengthen decision-making, and act with greater confidence.

All too often, though, traditional investment planning fails to include the financial dimensions of severe weather. But companies that integrate advanced weather analytics into Operations & Maintenance (O&M) and capital estimations, project prioritization, and filing strategy can increase resilience in their system while at the same time hardening their cases for investment and/or recovery. It is efficient risk mitigation, adaptation, and strategic capital allocation backed by evidence regulators expect.

How can companies measure vulnerability and build resilience?

To effectively measure vulnerability and resilience, utilities should identify which assets are exposed to extreme weather and understand the changing physical environments in which they operate. Establishing a consistent, scalable process for evaluating impacts is essential for generating reliable and comparable results. The Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), a global energy research and development organization, has developed a physical climate risk assessment framework across four dimensions:

  • Hazard assessment: Evaluate potential adverse events and/or trends, focusing broadly on changing physical environmental conditions.

A look at how extreme heat hazard scores may intensify in the coming decades

  • Exposure assessment: Leverage geospatial data to help determine which assets are located in areas that could be adversely affected by various hazards.

Power plants in the New York Metropolitan area exposed to rising sea levels

  • Vulnerability assessment: Using hazards specific to the location of a given asset, determine whether that exposure could meaningfully affect the functionality of the asset or system.
  • Response assessment: Evaluate the actions that can be taken to help reduce risk and increase resilience of your assets.

How can data and tech help your firm understand its climate risk exposure?

Conducting a thorough asset impact assessment requires both internal and external data. Numerous external sources offer information on hazards and impact pathways for utility assets (often referred to as “fragility curves”). Effectively utilizing these resources demands personnel who are skilled in working with such datasets and possess advanced modeling capabilities to integrate extreme weather data with asset-specific details, including:

  • The exact location of each asset being assessed (longitude and latitude).
  • Physical characteristics of each asset, including asset type, age, current condition, construction material, and pre-existing adaptations.
  • Financial and operational characteristics such as maintenance or replacement costs and historical financial impact from severe weather events.

Technology can underpin the repeatability and integrity of this work, some of which may already be in place:

  • Data collection and integration: Geospatial information systems map utility assets against climate hazards, and an enterprise data platform can integrate operational data (e.g. outage history, maintenance logs) with climate and weather datasets.
  • Extreme weather modeling tools: These tools can help translate global climate projections into localized hazard scenarios.
  • Scenario planning and enhancement tools: They enable your organization to test investment options under multiple climate futures, balancing safety, reliability, and affordability.
  • Interactive mapping dashboards: These dashboards help communicate the exposure and risk hotspots across the organization and to planners, regulators and stakeholders.

By establishing a consistent, data-driven approach to assessing vulnerabilities and adaptation, utilities can transform complex climate science into actionable insights to help facilitate the physical risk assessment activities and the identification of relevant mitigation strategies. With this foundation in place, the next important step is to consider how these assessments are put to work.

How can your organization leverage weather data and tech to build resilience?

Vulnerability and climate resilience assessments are required in certain states1, but the information produced by this exercise can be critical in several key operational and strategic processes, as well as regulatory filings:

State-mandated filings often require a detailed view of physical risks. Hazard and exposure assessments help identify risks, vulnerability analysis shows how those risks affect system performance, and response assessments guide the mitigation strategies utilities will commit to regulators. Together, these outputs form the backbone of compliance documentation.

Long-term resource planning benefits from hazard assessments (e.g., projecting drought or temperature extremes) and vulnerability insights (e.g., how heat affects generation efficiency or how precipitation and drought impacts hydro availability). These inputs may then lead to chosen generation portfolios being more resilient under a range of climate scenarios.

By mapping exposure of transmission and distribution assets to hazards like wildfire or flooding, utilities can assess where vulnerabilities are highest. Response assessments then help guide the selection of resilience strategies, such as hardening measures (including undergrounding, reinforcement, etc.), grid segmentation, and enhanced monitoring systems to offer the top return on resilience investment.

In justifying investments to regulators, utilities rely on vulnerability analyses to show the specific risks facing critical assets and on response assessments to demonstrate that chosen strategies directly address those risks in a cost-effective manner, while also improving reliability metrics, such as System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI), System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI), and Customer Minutes Interrupted (CMI). This can be seen directly in the successful outcomes of recent rate cases. PwC analyzed 36 filings, (across 23 states) and noted that there was a roughly 12 percentage point increase in the approval rate (Dollars Approved / Dollars Requested) when weather-related mitigation was included in the justification.

Utilities will be able to demonstrate return on resilience investment by identifying the specific assets and regions most at risk and focusing on spending where it has the greatest impact. This data-driven targeting not only helps strengthens the case for rate case investment and/or cost recovery but also shows regulators and stakeholders that investments are prioritized based on measurable risk reduction and value creation. In doing so, utilities can position resilience spending not as an added expense, but as a disciplined, cost-saving strategy that can safeguard both system performance and customer affordability.

By mapping vulnerability and resilience outputs across the overall spectrum of planning and regulatory processes, utilities can confirm that climate considerations are systematically integrated into decision-making. Following a consistent framework for measurement and developing a roadmap for action can bridge the gap between scientific assessment and real-world investment.

From measurement to momentum

The next phase of resilience planning will likely depend on how well utilities can translate climate data into a forward-looking strategy. Understanding where assets are most vulnerable is only the beginning. The real value lies in testing those insights across a range of future scenarios, combining advanced weather modeling with investment planning to anticipate how today’s decisions will eventually perform under tomorrow’s climate realities.

Organizations that integrate these insights into their capital planning, rate cases, and long-term resource strategies can demonstrate not only compliance, but also financial and operational foresight. Financial scenario analysis can help utilities prioritize which risks to address first, while detailed climate and asset modeling can provide the supporting evidence regulators increasingly expect in filings. Together, these tools can turn complex climate uncertainty into defensible, data-backed decision-making.

1 Examples include 1) the Climate Change Vulnerability Study (CCVS) and Climate Change Resilience Plan (CCRP) in New York; 2) the Climate Adaptation Vulnerability Assessment (CAVA) in California; 3) Storm Protection Plan (SPP) in Florida.

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