US Deals 2026 outlook

Industrial manufacturing

  • Publication
  • 3 minute read
  • December 16, 2025

Industrial M&A accelerates as megadeals signal renewed confidence

Industrial manufacturing deal activity accelerated through the third quarter of 2025, reversing a slow start to the year. Activity increased as inflation eased, financing conditions steadied, and buyers shifted from caution to action. Corporates and private equity investors are returning to growth-focused strategies that strengthen margins, expand geographic footprints, and build next-generation capabilities. Strategic buyers are making bolder moves in automation, electrification, and advanced manufacturing. Sponsors are reentering the market with more disciplined but active deployment.

A clear trend is emerging: Large-scale transactions are lifting total deal value and resetting expectations for 2026. Improving public valuations across industrial technology and energy transition markets are creating a more supportive backdrop for pricing and execution. The standout story is an uptick in megadeal activity. More than two thirds of total deal value this year came from transactions above $5 billion, a sharp jump from the prior year when there were no megadeals at all. This signals renewed conviction and willingness to pursue transformational change. 

Dealmakers still face a complex macro environment. Demand across end markets remains uneven, tariff policies continue to evolve, and geopolitical uncertainty can shift supply chains with little notice. Industrial leaders are responding with pragmatic capital strategies centered on targeted investment in innovation, digitization, and sustainability. These priorities are shaping how companies prepare for 2026 and where they place their bets.

  • Megadeals drive sector value: Large transactions in automation, electrification, and energy infrastructure are taking a larger share of total deal value. Corporates are leaning into acquisitions that accelerate technology capability or create scale advantages in next-generation production. Sponsors are returning to upper mid-market deals, particularly buy-and-build opportunities in industrial technology and engineered components.

  • AI and automation redefine priorities: AI and automation are now central to investment theses. Companies are pursuing targets that unlock productivity gains and help offset ongoing labor constraints. AI-enabled manufacturing execution systems, predictive maintenance tools, and robotics platforms are rising to the top of M&A priorities. Many manufacturers are also pursuing partnerships and minority investments that advance digital maturity without immediate integration risk. This is widening the valuation gap between technology-forward manufacturers and those still catching up.

  • Government action is reconfiguring the landscape: Policy moves are exerting stronger influence on industrial M&A. Tariffs, trade realignments, clean energy incentives, and regulatory oversight are shifting investment flows and prompting companies to reassess supply chain resilience. First movers are positioning ahead of these policy trends to secure early advantage.

  • Portfolio repositioning and geographic diversification gain momentum: Companies are divesting non-core operations and reinvesting in higher-growth areas such as clean energy, advanced materials, and automation. At the same time, cross-border activity is rising as companies diversify manufacturing hubs and reduce geopolitical risk.

52%

of deal value came from transactions over $5B—up from just one megadeal that drove 18% of annual deal value in FY24.

Source: PwC analysis of data from S&P Capital IQ Copyright © 2025, S&P Global Market Intelligence (and its affiliates, as applicable)*

Key M&A trends set to influence industrial manufacturing

Stabilization of policy, regulatory, and rate environments: A more predictable macro and policy environment is beginning to reset dealmaker confidence. Inflation is easing, interest rate trajectories are clearer, and governments are signaling longer-term priorities for industrial investment. As the cost of capital steadies, both strategic and financial buyers are revisiting deals that were paused over the past year and a half. 

Manufacturers that delayed transactions due to valuation uncertainty or financing costs are preparing to reengage with sharper focus on portfolio optimization and adjacent growth. Policy incentives tied to clean energy, domestic capacity, and supply chain resilience are creating targeted opportunities in components, automation, and critical infrastructure. The mid-market could see a meaningful pickup as financing becomes easier to secure and buyers look to capture value ahead of potential rate cuts. 

With the operating environment beginning to normalize, early movers may have a real advantage. Companies that update diligence assumptions, reassess their pipelines, and ready assets for sale could get ahead of a more competitive market later in 2025. 

AI and digital transformation as strategic imperatives: Artificial intelligence and digital enablement have become core to competitiveness. Manufacturers are using AI to streamline supply chains, strengthen predictive maintenance, and speed up design-to-production cycles. As digital maturity becomes a key driver of valuation, deal activity is shifting toward automation, software, and analytical capabilities that deliver advanced functionality across the industrial ecosystem. 

Dealmakers are prioritizing technology-driven targets that improve data utilization, operational resilience, and customer responsiveness. Digital processes are also evolving, with greater focus on digital readiness, data quality, and cybersecurity risk. In many cases, strategic partnerships or minority investments in AI and automation platforms allow companies to accelerate their digital transformation without immediate integration complexity.  

With macro conditions stabilizing and digital disruption intensifying, manufacturers have an opportunity to move from defense to offense. Those who align capital strategy with technology transformation are positioned to lead the next phase of deal activity as confidence returns to the market.  

“Industrial M&A momentum has returned. As policy clarity improves and capital costs stabilize, manufacturers are reigniting strategic deals to drive growth, innovation, and long-term competitiveness.”

Michael Fiore,Industrial Products Deals Leader

The bottom line: What industrial manufacturing dealmakers should watch in 2026

As industrial manufacturing enters 2026, dealmakers should monitor how sustained policy stability and accelerating digital transformation redefine competitive dynamics. If financing conditions hold steady, strategic and private equity buyers may step up portfolio realignment and pursue consolidation across automation, electrification, and energy transition markets. More companies are turning to M&A to drive topline growth and complement efficiency initiatives and organic expansion. 

AI-enabled productivity gains and the convergence of industrial and digital technologies will continue to recalibrate valuation drivers and diligence priorities. Success will depend on early positioning. Companies that target digital capabilities, scale operational efficiency, and navigate policy-linked incentives that support clean energy and advanced manufacturing will be best placed to lead the next phase of deal activity. 

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