1 LFIs have assets over $100 billion while RBOs and CBOs have less than $100 billion. The firms in the Fed’s LISCC portfolio are the eight U.S. global systemically important banks (G-SIBs).
Our Take
Rulemaking paused with tougher negotiations ahead. Although the Trump Administration has not yet taken over, the election is already having an impact on the banking regulators. It comes as little surprise that major rulemaking is now on hold, particularly Basel III endgame which requires agreement between the three banking agencies and was not re-proposed in September as Barr had planned. Barr confirmed that he is committed to seeing Basel III endgame through and working with new colleagues at the OCC and FDIC to do so, but he will likely need to make even more concessions to win over new leaders of these agencies that will almost certainly come to the table with very different positions than Gruenberg and Hsu. For example, potential FDIC Chair and current Vice Chair Travis Hill was highly critical of the entire original Basel III endgame proposal.
Gruenberg’s decision to step down likely took into account the significant opposition he would continue to face from the Republican-majority Congress, which was on full display during the hearing. Aside from interagency rulemaking, which will need to get Barr on board, un-finalized FDIC proposals can be more easily revised and re-proposed - or shelved entirely, as will likely be the case with proposed amendments to brokered deposit and industrial loan company (ILC) rules. The proposed third-party deposit recordkeeping requirements are more likely to ultimately go through, after taking into account additional comments, as both Hill and fellow Republican FDIC Board member Jonathan McKernan voted in favor of the proposal back in September.
Fed report lays out supervisory issues and priorities that will stay the course. The detail in the Fed’s Supervision and Regulation Report about two-thirds of LFIs having at least one less-than-satisfactory ratings component presents an interesting contrast to Barr’s testimony that “overall, the banking system remains sound and resilient.” This disparity will add to questions in Congress and the industry as to the relevance of the ratings system to bank safety and soundness, particularly with respect to the relative importance of the governance and controls component. However, there is no indication that examiners will slow down on these findings, particularly as Barr will remain in his position and supervisory priorities for governance and controls include cybersecurity and third-party risk management - areas that all of the regulators have repeatedly highlighted as concerns. The fact that all four categories of priorities for LFIs include remediation of previous findings also emphasizes the Fed’s view that many institutions still have work to do to resolve outstanding issues. The report also serves as a reminder that the supervisory process can more quickly effectuate the risk management aims of rulemaking. While Barr reiterated his intention to progress new liquidity requirements in the next administration, the report demonstrates that examiners are not waiting for formal rulemaking to examine bank practices with respect to uninsured deposits, internal liquidity stress tests and liquidity buffers.
Our Take
A bold move with an uncertain future. Coming the day after the banking regulators pledged to hold off on major rulemaking until the new administration takes over, this final rule shows that CFPB Director Rohit Chopra is taking a different approach of making a mark on the agency while he still can. While the rule falls well within the window of potential overturning via the Congressional Review Act, increasing oversight of big tech companies has attracted bipartisan support and rare support for CFPB rulemaking from banks, as the rule is consistent with their long-held view that there is an uneven regulatory landscape for financial services activities conducted outside the banking system. However, Republicans have historically been opposed to expansion of the CFPB’s authority and several members of the HFSC criticized the proposal as lacking adequate justification and introducing regulatory uncertainty. Even if the rule survives, any examinations of nonbank digital payment providers would occur under the direction of new CFPB leadership which is unlikely to share Chopra’s vision or approach.
The affected nonbank tech companies will undoubtedly push for the rule to be overturned, or challenge it in court, as direct supervision would open them to scrutiny that would disrupt - and potentially derail - their business and operating models. If they become exposed to bank-like examinations, they would need to develop the necessary technology, controls and skillsets, including maintaining a complete inventory of relevant regulations, understanding how those regulations apply and ensuring that there are sufficient controls and other risk management practices (e.g., risk assessments, testing and monitoring programs, training) in place. Although they may avoid this kind of scrutiny for now if challenges to the rule are successful, the tech companies would have a hard time avoiding it in the future if they fail to protect against fraud, data breaches and other consumer harms.
Our Take
A victory for U.S. insurers. The outcome of the comparability assessment is a relief to U.S. insurers who will likely not need to make large scale investment return and capital calculation adjustments to comply with the ICS. U.S. insurers will still need to update their compliance and risk processes to align with state capital requirements and, for those impacted, the AM. In contrast, overseas insurers doing business in the U.S. will need to comply with their own country’s adoption of the ICS which may be more punitive than the AM with respect to investment return assumptions. However, the full impact of the divergent approaches on both the domestic and cross-border competitive landscape will only become clear once they have been fully implemented in the coming years.
These notable developments hit our radar recently: