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Read "our take" on the latest developments and what they mean.
What happened? On July 22nd, the Fed hosted a conference to discuss the U.S. capital framework for large banks, including the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio (eSLR), the global systemically important bank (GSIB) surcharge, stress testing, the Basel III endgame proposal.
What was discussed?
What’s next? Comments on the eSLR proposal are due by August 25th, and the Fed is expected to issue a follow-up proposal on stress testing transparency and scenario design by September 30th.
A new era of regulatory engagement
The Fed’s capital conference signalled a shift toward more open, sustained engagement with industry, an approach that will shape the next phase of capital reform. It provided a public forum to evaluate how different aspects of the capital framework interact and consider ways to balance maintaining safety and soundness without constraining economic growth and critical market functions, such as custody and Treasury market intermediation. The discussion demonstrated that current requirements are due for change and future rulemakings will reflect a more holistic view of the capital framework – prioritizing coordination across requirements and reducing duplicative charges. Based on their remarks at the conference, the leaders of the banking agencies are committed to not just finalizing individual rules, but to bring cohesion and consistency across the broader capital regime. In addition, while it was not a focus of the conference, we expect the regulators to maintain tailoring to size and complexity as a core principle of supervision and regulation.
In terms of the specific reform efforts:
A structural eSLR fix that leaves deeper questions unanswered
The eSLR proposal is likely to be finalized largely as proposed, but the lively discussion at the conference showed that deeper questions remain unresolved. Although the Fed left the door open to excluding Treasuries and central bank deposits, the lack of consensus and prior statements by Fed governors suggest that this element may not be added to the final rule.
Calls to modernize the GSIB surcharge are growing harder to ignore
The Fed has not raised potential GSIB surcharge reforms since some were proposed alongside Basel III endgame – but the case for revisiting its mechanics is gaining traction. Method 2 continues to drive outsized volatility and capital add-ons for firms whose size and funding profiles do not align cleanly with systemic risk. At the conference, several participants flagged the need to modernize inputs and measure over the course of the year – particularly to address the distortions created by year-end window dressing. While statutory constraints may limit how far the Fed can go, there is clear room to improve risk alignment by smoothing scoring increments, revisiting outdated calibration assumptions, and adopting multi-period exposure measures.
Stress testing transparency will define the next phase
Averaging SCB results is a useful first step but alone is not sufficient to solve issues with volatility or improve planning unless paired with other structural changes. Firms continue to lack clarity on key Fed model assumptions, loss channels, and how stress scenarios are constructed. The Fed’s anticipated rulemaking on stress testing transparency will be the most consequential development for capital planning in years. If done well, it could enable enhanced Fed models to better reflect bank’s current risk profiles and reduce unexplained differences in capital consumption that create issues in balance sheet allocation strategies. Given the consensus that a transparent, improved stress testing process is more desireale than opaque Pillar II approach, we expect the SCB to remain in Pillar I.
Getting closer to a Basel III endgame reproposal
Momentum is building for a reproposal of Basel III endgame – driven by the need to resolve structural overlap across the capital stack and restore alignment with global standards. Regulators appear increasingly receptive to the industry consensus that the final rule should avoid raising aggregate capital levels and should not exceed the standards implemented in other jurisdictions. A reproposal that achieves international consistency and avoids duplicative charges would preserve credibility while reducing complexity – and send a strong signal that capital reform is being done with purpose, not in isolation.
What happened? The following notable events took place regarding digital assets over the past two weeks:
What does the GENIUS ACT contain? The Act provides a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers and outlines requirements for financial stability and consumer protection.
What does the CLARITY Act contain? The Act outlines regulatory jurisdiction for digital assets and contains other requirements including those around disclosures and consumer protection.
What does the market infrastructure discussion draft contain? The draft defines “ancillary assets” as assets that are not securities but are sold in connection with the purchase and sale of a security through an investment contract. Ancillary assets would not be subject to SEC registration but would be subject to disclosure requirements to be implemented by the SEC. The draft also clarifies authorized bank activity, calls upon the banking agencies to develop capital requirements for digital assets and directs Treasury to develop an examination process for reporting, AML and sanctions compliance related to digital assets.
What does the joint statement on risk management considerations say? The joint statement explains that banks should perform a risk assessment that incorporates (1) the bank’s core financial risks; (2) its ability to understand the asset class; (3) its ability to ensure a strong control environment; and (4) contingency plans. It also highlights the need for secure cryptographic key management practices as well as issues stemming from illicit finance risk, regulatory risk and third-party risk.
What’s next? The GENIUS Act will take effect on the earlier of 1) 18 months after it is enacted or 2) 120 days after final regulations are issued – which must be done within a year of enactment.
The CLARITY Act will need to be passed by the Senate before moving to the President’s desk for signature.
Stablecoin clarity is here
The GENIUS Act being signed into law will have immediate impacts across a range of market participants, including:
Clarity paves the way for longer-term digital asset strategies
We expect that the Senate will pass a reconciled CLARITY Act and it will be signed into law by the President in the near future. While certain areas will require additional clarification and rulemaking, traditional financial institutions are now positioned to operationalize their digital asset strategies. This includes:
New technologies, new risks
As evidenced by the banking agencies’ statement, firms need to be aware of the risks stemming from new products and services and develop strategies to mitigate them. Key areas of focus include:
These notable developments hit our radar recently:
White House publishes AI plan. On July 23rd, the White House released America’s AI Action Plan, outlining a whole-of-government strategy intended to assure U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence (AI). The Action Plan builds on Executive Order 14179 and proposes aggressive policy shifts across federal funding, workforce development, export controls, and federal adoption. The plan directs agencies including the financial services regulators to review and revise any existing rules, guidance, or enforcement actions that may inhibit AI innovation.
Agencies propose rescinding 2023 CRA final rule. On July 16th, the FDIC, Fed, and OCC formally proposed to rescind the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) final rule adopted in October 2023. The agencies intend to revert to the prior CRA regulations issued in 1995 with certain technical amendments. Comments on the proposal are due 30 days after publication in the Federal Register.
FinCEN to delay IA AML rule implementation. On July 16th, FinCEN announced plans to postpone the effective date of its final rule requiring Anti-Money Laundering/Countering the Financing of Terrorism programs and Suspicious Activity Report filings for registered investment advisers and exempt reporting advisers. The effective date will be delayed from January 1, 2026, to January 1, 2028. FinCEN also plans to revisit the scope of the rule in a future rulemaking.
CFTC withdraws advisory on prime brokerage arrangements. On July 18th, the CFTC’s Division of Clearing and Risk withdrew Staff Advisory Letter No. 23-06, which had addressed potential derivatives clearing organization (DCO) registration requirements for certain prime brokerage arrangements involving centralized credit intermediation. The withdrawal reflects the agency’s intent to reassess the application of registration requirements in these contexts.
Agencies seek further comment on efforts to reduce regulatory burden. On July 21st, the FDIC, Federal Reserve Board, and OCC issued a joint request for public comment under the Economic Growth and Regulatory Paperwork Reduction Act. The agencies are reviewing regulations in three remaining categories: Banking Operations, Capital, and the CRA. The request is open for 90 days.
House panel advances bipartisan bills to modernize financial supervision. On July 23rd, the House Financial Services Committee (HFSC) voted to advance multiple bills: The Tailored Regulatory Updates for Supervisory Testing Act would raise the threshold for extended 18-month examination cycles from $3 billion to $6 billion in total assets for qualifying FDIC-insured institutions; The Bringing the Discount Window into the 21st Century Act would require the Fed to review and improve discount window operations; The American Access to Banking Act would direct federal banking and credit union regulators to promote de novo formation of financial institutions through streamlined applications, capital access support, and outreach efforts; The FDIC Board Accountability Act would convert the CFPB director’s FDIC board seat into a non-voting role and impose a two-term limit on FDIC board members; and the Stop Agency Fiat Enforcement of Guidance Act would require financial regulatory agencies to include clarity statements when issuing nonbinding guidance.
1 Method 1 calculates a GSIB surcharge based on five systemic indicators relative to U.S. peers. Method 2 uses the same indicators but applies different weightings and includes a short-term wholesale funding metric. Banks are subject to the higher of the two.
2 The Basel framework contains three pillars of capital regulation. Pillar 1 establishes standardized, binding capital requirements that apply uniformly across firms. Pillar 2 allows supervisors to impose firm-specific expectations based on risk profile, governance, or other supervisory judgment. Pillar 3 promotes market discipline through public disclosure of risk and capital metrics.
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