Our Take
Independent agencies independent no more. The series of EOs is an unprecedented move to reduce the regulatory agencies’ historical independence and authority. Taken together, the EOs would significantly increase Presidential control over the financial regulatory agencies and align their actions more tightly with the Administration’s priorities and preferences. This will earn support from the industry by potentially restricting the agencies’ ability to impose and enforce regulatory requirements, allowing financial institutions to redeploy resources to focus on growth and efficiency. However, the EOs could also create uncertainty by granting the President control over enforcement and subjecting regulation and supervision activities to political agendas and novel legal conclusions. The consolidation of power under the President could mean that any near-term benefits of deregulation for financial institutions would be ephemeral if a new administration were to swing the regulatory pendulum in the other direction.
In the meantime, the EOs raise a number of significant questions for both agencies and the industry, including:
Do the agencies have to comply? We expect that the constitutionality of the EOs eventually to be challenged. As challenges to the orders will take time, the agencies will have to proceed with categorizing their existing regulations despite open questions on the EOs’ terminology and standards, including those below.
What is the scope of “Administration policy”? In contrast with the other factors the agencies are expected to consider, Administration policy is not fixed and could conceivably change over time. The most immediate significance of this will likely be the ability of the Administration to direct the initiation or termination of independent agency enforcement actions.
What is “the best reading” of a statute? The EOs further diminish the agencies’ ability to interpret statutes after last year’s Supreme Court decision in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo.1 The President and Attorney General will have considerable leeway to determine that a regulation is inconsistent with the “best reading” of a statute as many of them intentionally leave the details of implementation to specialists at the agencies. Going forward, this standard could limit an agency’s ability to adjust regulations to respond to developments unless and until they are explicitly referenced in statutes, such as digital assets and artificial intelligence.2
What does this mean for the future of independent regulation and the financial system? The EOs effectively create an obstacle course to create any new regulations and will significantly slow future rulemaking. In addition, the provisions granting OMB further control over agency budgets and standards for removal of personnel could have cascading effects on supervision. In terms of the impact to the financial system, potential risks to stability resulting from the removal of regulations and changes to enforcement will not be felt immediately but may appear during the next period of financial stress or significant event testing the resilience of the financial system.
What should financial institutions do now? Given the evolving landscape, financial institutions should stay close to their trade associations and advisers to ensure that they understand the latest developments and provide input to the regulatory process. To support their advocacy, they should develop well-supported feedback on regulations and compliance burdens without commensurate benefit. They should assess the impact of potential changes on business strategies and operations in order to determine how to best deploy their people, processes and technology.
However, until there are concrete changes to laws, regulations or supervisory requirements, firms need to maintain their current compliance and change management programs. Depending on the scale of requirements that are adjusted, institutions will have to consider which financial and operational risk management standards, practices and controls are critical to maintain the trust of customers, capital providers and the markets.
[1] This decision overturned “Chevron deference,” a longstanding precedent that compelled Federal courts to defer to an administrative agency’s “reasonable” interpretation of ambiguous legislative provisions which Congress directed that agency to administer.
[1] The Supreme Court has recently affirmed the “major questions doctrine,” which holds that agencies cannot decide questions of “vast economic and political significance” without clear statutory language authorizing them to do so.
Bowman closed with recommendations for a comprehensive review of outdated banking regulations to eliminate unnecessary burdens, updates to core Fed regulations (such as those concerning loans to insiders and transactions with affiliates), and clearer standards for BSA/AML compliance to prevent excessive reporting burdens.
Our Take
The changing of the guard. If none of the current Governors step down, President Trump will need to select a new VCS from among them – or not name one at all, as Fed Chair Powell suggested in recent Congressional testimony. In the former case, Bowman is the likely choice as she is the Republican-appointed Governor who is most outspoken on supervision and regulation. Accordingly, these two speeches serve as a synopsis of how Fed policy is likely to change over the course of the Trump Administration. At a high level, the difference in their views can be summarized by Bowman focusing on reducing regulatory overreach and increasing transparency while Barr prioritizes risk mitigation and resilience, favoring a more cautious and interventionist approach to regulation. Regardless of Trump’s choice on the VCS position, Barr’s approach is receding. For example, in complying with the EOs and adapting to greater influence from the White House, the Fed will not pursue climate risk management rulemaking and will be much less likely to finalize Basel III endgame and long-term debt requirements in their current form. Instead, the Trump Administration will find an ally in Bowman for its quest to cut down on regulations, streamline application reviews and increase transparency around supervision to encourage innovation and growth.
These notable developments hit our radar recently:
SEC establishes new enforcement unit. On February 20th, the SEC announced the creation of the Cyber and Emerging Technologies Unit (CETU) to replace the Crypto Assets and Cyber Unit. This new unit will focus on combatting cyber-related misconduct and protect retail investors from bad actors in the emerging technologies space.
CTA enforcement is back on. On February 18th, 2025, the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas issued a ruling which reinstated the beneficial ownership information (BOI) reporting requirements under the Corporate Transparency Act (CTA). As a result, all entities that are considered “reporting companies” under the CTA – including small businesses and community associations – will need to submit initial reports to FinCEN, including the full legal name, date of birth, current residential or business street address, and a unique identifying number from an acceptable identification document or FinCEN identifier for each beneficial owner. In response to the court's decision, FinCEN extended the deadline for most companies to comply with BOI reporting requirements by 30 days to March 21st, 2025. Reporting companies with later deadlines will continue to be subject to those deadlines.
Senate Banking to consider digital asset frameworks and nominations. The Senate Banking Committee has multiple hearings scheduled for next week. On February 26th, the committee will conduct a hearing entitled “Exploring Bipartisan Legislative Frameworks for Digital Assets.” Additionally, on February 27th, the following nominees are scheduled to appear before the committee: Dr. Stephen Miran to be Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors; Jeffrey Kessler to be Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security; William Pulte, to be FHFA Director; and Jonathan McKernan to be CFPB Director.
Vice Chair Barr speaks on AI. On February 18th, Vice Chair Barr spoke at the Council on Foreign Relations regarding AI and hypothetical scenarios for the future. The speech provides an in-depth analysis of the potential impact of generative AI (GenAI) on the economy and society, outlining two hypothetical scenarios and discussing implications for businesses, regulators, and society.