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Read "our take" on the latest developments and what they mean.
What happened? This week, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman delivered two speeches on past and upcoming actions – one on February 16th at the American Bankers Association Conference for Community Bankers and one on February 19th at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
What did Bowman say? The two speeches provided new insights across two key topics:
Refocusing bank capital around credit and market function
With confirmation that a Basel III endgame re-proposal is coming soon, Bowman’s remarks provide the clearest preview yet of its direction. The previewed changes to MSRs and mortgage risk weights suggests that the Fed is targeting areas of the original 2023 proposal that drew substantial pushback on the grounds that they would have constrained consumer access to credit and further accelerated the migration of assets and activities to nonbanks. The early focus on these areas also reflects the Administration’s broader efforts to encourage mortgage lending and housing affordability. The Fed’s willingness to revisit the 250% MSR risk weight indicates that well-supported evidence showing it overstates risk and suppresses bank participation in mortgage lending could materially influence calibration. Similarly, introducing LTV-based differentiation would refine standardized mortgage treatment in a way that may make bank mortgage lending more economically viable, particularly for lower-LTV exposures. If that approach relies on current LTV, including amortized loans, it would represent a departure from the prior proposal’s reliance on origination LTV as well as from the 2017 Basel framework.
Notably, Bowman’s speeches clarify that these mortgage-related changes will not just apply to larger banks subject to Basel III endgame, but to smaller banks as well – which may come through a separate proposal. In that respect it is worth noting that the FDIC and OCC (the other agencies involved in the Basel III endgame rulemaking and other interagency capital rules) have sent separate proposals to the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) as a preliminary stage to proposal. While the details of these proposals remain to be seen, it is clear that the agencies are targeting capital requirements that more closely align to actual portfolio risk and encourage further bank participation in credit markets.
Concrete steps towards a more focused supervisory framework
The announced review of outstanding MRAs is a logical extension of the Fed’s recent supervisory principles memorandum and its stated intention to refocus supervision on material financial risk. For institutions, this shift creates both opportunity and responsibility. While the Fed proceeds with this review, firms have the opportunity to proactively assess their outstanding MRAs to determine not only which may be downgraded to supervisory observations but which are substantively remediated (as supported by internal audit validation) and may be closed. If the findings remain as supervisory observations, firms should evaluate, prioritize, and integrate this feedback into governance structures, including centralized issue-management systems, enterprise risk management, and control enhancement efforts.
What happened? On February 17th, the OCC issued a proposal to revise its process for bank appeals of material supervisory determinations. This follows the FDIC’s finalization of a rule establishing its new Office of Supervisory Appeals (OSA) on January 22nd.
What is in the proposal and how does it differ from the FDIC’s? The OCC’s proposal would create a similar framework to the FDIC’s OSA, with a few key differences:
What’s next? The OCC will accept comments on the proposal until April 20th.
Creating a durable appeals architecture
The OCC’s proposal reflects a broader effort to respond to longstanding concerns about the fairness and transparency of the supervisory process. Like the FDIC’s OSA, the move toward explicit de novo review signals that appeals are meant to function as a more meaningful check on supervisory judgment rather than a narrow review of policy consistency. At the same time, the OCC’s approach reveals a distinct governance philosophy. By keeping senior supervisory leadership directly embedded in the adjudicatory structure and preserving ultimate authority at the Comptroller level, the agency appears to view appeals as an internal discipline mechanism as much as an external safeguard. That design may promote consistency and institutional continuity, but it stops short of the fully standalone model the FDIC adopted.
However, given the agency’s evolving supervisory posture, there may be fewer determinations that institutions feel compelled to appeal in the near term. But by codifying a structured appeals framework now, the OCC is establishing guardrails that will persist into future leadership cycles and different supervisory philosophies.
What happened? On February 17th, the Ninth Circuit Appeals Court denied a petition to pause Nevada regulators’ efforts to block the offering of certain event-based contracts. Following the decision, the Nevada Gaming Control Board filed a lawsuit seeking to prohibit a major prediction market platform from operating within the state.
The following day, the CFTC filed an amicus brief arguing that it has exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets and its authority preempts that of state law and regulations.
What does the Nevada Gaming Control Board lawsuit say? It argues that event contracts meet the definition of “game” and are therefore subject to its jurisdiction, comparing it to sports betting which is regulated by the state Board. It also states that by operating without a Nevada gaming license, prediction markets platforms are not subject to safeguards necessary to promote fairness and consumer protection.
What does the CFTC’s amicus brief say? It argues that event contracts are “commodity derivatives” as they allow for hedging of event-driven risks, enable investors to manage portfolio exposure, and provide the public with information about the likely outcome of future events. It also states that the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction over commodity derivatives and therefore should preempt the Nevada Gaming Control Board’s regulatory authority.
What’s next? Oral arguments will be heard on April 16th, 2026.
The CFTC weighs in as courts continue to split on prediction markets preemption
CFTC Chair Mike Selig, less than two months into his tenure, is delivering on his stated focus of encouraging “entirely new products, platforms and business models” by throwing the agency’s weight at the issue of prediction markets preemption, which has thus far resulted in split decisions among courts. Whether its amicus brief will ultimately influence Nevada’s decision remains to be seen, but it nevertheless lays the groundwork for prediction markets platforms’ legal arguments as state-by-state lawsuits continue.
It remains unclear whether the Supreme Court will ultimately weigh in on this matter and settle the split decisions by lower courts. In the meantime, there remains significant uncertainty for both prediction markets platforms and firms providing enabling services for such platforms (e.g., banking, payments, onboarding/KYC, technology) as to regulatory jurisdiction and compliance expectations.
In response, prediction markets platforms should:
Enabling service providers should:
For more on prediction markets regulation and what firms should do now, see our newly-released paper Prediction markets and event derivatives: The new crossroads of gaming and finance.
What happened? On February 13th, FinCEN issued two related actions that collectively signal a push toward (1) more actionable leads for enforcement and (2) reduced check-the-box friction in customer due diligence:
What does the whistleblower intake webpage contain? The webpage standardizes and streamlines tip submission, including specific instructions to include “who/what/where/when/why,” how the whistleblower learned of the conduct and the location of any corroborating evidence. It notes that awards may be available when a tip leads to a successful action with penalties exceeding one million dollars but indicates that it will issue a regulation to fully implement the awards process before beginning to pay awards.
What does the exceptive relief order say? While the order exempts firms from identifying and verifying beneficial owners each time the customer opens a new account, they still must do so (1) when the customer first opens an account; (2) when the firm discovers facts calling reliability into question; and (3) as needed based on the firm’s risk-based CDD procedures.
FinCEN prioritizes quality over quantity
By standardizing whistleblower reporting and re-focusing beneficial ownership collection requirements, FinCEN is emphasizing better quality data over bureaucratic processes. The whistleblower portal increases the chance that employees report issues externally, which can compress the timeline for institutions to investigate and respond. As a result, firms face increased risk if they choose to “remediate quietly” and an insider tips FinCEN first, shifting the institution from proactive to reactive.
Meanwhile, the exceptive relief order shifts the compliance focus towards risk-based ongoing CDD (changes in ownership/control, unusual activity, adverse information, sanctions exposure, etc.) rather than repeated collection events tied to internal product/account structuring. In response, firms should consider:
Treasury launches public-private initiative to strengthen cybersecurity and AI risk management. On February 18th, the Treasury Department announced the completion of a major public-private initiative focused on improving cybersecurity and risk management for artificial intelligence in the financial sector. Treasury will release six resources throughout February that provide practical tools for financial institutions to manage AI-specific cyber risks.
Treasury releases new AI governance resources for the financial sector. On February 19th, Treasury issued two new tools to support responsible AI adoption in financial services: a shared Artificial Intelligence Lexicon and the Financial Services AI Risk Management Framework. Developed with industry and regulatory partners through the Artificial Intelligence Executive Oversight Group, the resources aim to standardize terminology, strengthen risk management practices, and improve operational resilience as institutions expand the use of AI in decision-making and customer operations. Treasury stated that the publications advance the President’s AI Action Plan.
Fed updates BHC Supervision Manual to remove reputational risk from exams. On February 17th, the Fed published revisions to the Bank Holding Company Supervision Manual to implement its June 2025 decision to eliminate reputational risk as a component of supervisory examinations for banks and holding companies. The updated manual removes references to reputation or reputational risk across more than twenty sections, with changes summarized on page 16 of the release.
Agencies rescind public LCR FAQs. On February 10th, the Fed, OCC, and FDIC announced that they have rescinded their publicly posted FAQs interpreting the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rule but will keep the documents available on their websites. The agencies noted that the rescission does not change the LCR rule itself and that institutions may continue to rely on the FAQs for clarification. The agencies plan to seek public comment on the issues addressed in the FAQs and on potential regulatory changes in the future.
SEC Chair Atkins outlines priorities for state corporate law competition and Regulation S-K reform. On February 17th, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins delivered remarks in which he previewed the SEC’s ongoing review of Regulation S-K, identifying priorities to rationalize, simplify, and modernize executive compensation and public company disclosure requirements, including potential changes to Item 402, related-party disclosures, and risk factor reporting.
SEC proposes amendments to reduce reporting burdens for fund portfolio filings. On February 18th, the SEC proposed amendments to Form N-PORT including extending filing deadlines, streamlining reporting items, and reducing the frequency of public portfolio disclosures from monthly to quarterly. The proposal also removes certain “Names Rule” reporting requirements and adds new information for funds with ETF share classes. Separately, the SEC extended compliance dates for the Names Rule reporting requirements to November 17th, 2027, for larger fund groups and May 18th, 2028, for smaller fund groups.
SEC staff issues updated FAQs on broker-dealer, transfer agent, and trading obligations for crypto assets. On February 19th, the SEC Division of Trading and Markets released updated staff FAQs addressing how federal securities laws apply to crypto asset activities and distributed ledger technology. The guidance covers broker-dealer custody and capital treatment of crypto assets, including a new 2% net capital haircut for payment stablecoins, SIPC coverage limits, use of distributed ledgers by transfer agents, and compliance expectations for pairs trading of security and non-security crypto assets on exchanges and ATSs. The FAQs also clarify when crypto transfer agents must register and how ATS operators can integrate crypto trading into their existing Form ATS or ATS-N disclosures.
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