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Read "our take" on the latest developments and what they mean.
What happened? On June 4th, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman, OCC Comptroller Jonathan Gould and FDIC Chair Travis Hill testified before the House Financial Services Committee at its latest prudential regulator oversight hearing. Prior to the hearing, the Fed released its June 2026 Supervision and Regulation Report.
What was discussed at the hearing? Key themes included:
What did the Fed supervision and regulation report say? Key incremental points include:
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| Large financial institutions (LFI) |
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Supervisory reform starts to show results
The report and hearing confirm that the agencies’ supervisory reform agenda is now translating into exam execution, issue classification and supervisory resource allocation. The most direct evidence is in the falling open finding numbers across all categories of banks — a trend that is likely to continue as the agencies proceed with examiner training and consistency efforts discussed in the hearing. At the same time, the report and hearing delivered new insight into specific target areas within the overall shift in focus on material financial risk. There were more updates to the LFI supervisory priorities than are typically seen across subsequent reports, and the new references to nonbank lending, monitoring of financial positions, prime services, intraday reserve methodologies, inter-affiliate funding flows and liquidity position monitoring point to closer scrutiny of how risk can move quickly across trading, funding and affiliate structures under stress.
Mortgage remains an important capital reform test case
More broadly, the hearing and report show the rulemaking agenda continuing to advance across capital, stablecoins, ratings, community bank tailoring, and applications and merger review. In the discussion of the capital reform proposals, Bowman’s comments on potential changes to the risk treatment of mortgages comments were an indication that the agencies are still considering if the final rule should go further to improve the economics of bank residential mortgage origination and servicing. Banks are likely to keep pressing for additional changes to residential mortgage risk weights, mortgage servicing rights treatment, private mortgage insurance recognition, cash-flow-dependent mortgage exposures and mortgage-related operational risk charges. It is an open question whether the final rule will move far enough to change business decisions, not just regulatory calculations. Capital recalibration may improve the case for holding mortgages and retaining servicing, but a more durable return of mortgage activity to banks would likely require progress on the other frictions that drove the post-crisis retreat: servicing complexity, compliance and enforcement risk, technology investment, and operating cost. For more, see Reopening the door to bank mortgage lending.
What happened? On June 10th, the CFTC issued a proposal that would establish a framework for determining when an events contract on a prediction market is contrary to the public interest – due to promoting unethical conduct or susceptibility to market manipulation – which would result in such contracts violating the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA).
What does the framework contain? Under the proposal, the Commission would first determine whether an events contract involves terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, or unlawful conduct (the “enumerated activities”). It would then determine within 90 days whether the contract violates the public interest on a case-by-case basis. The proposal contains a list of factors to be considered as part of this determination, including (1) whether the events contract would serve the public interest, such as by providing price discovery or promoting innovation; (2) whether the contract threatens market integrity or is susceptible to market manipulation, such as events with outcomes determined by an individual or small group; and (3) whether the events contract has self-regulatory capacity to address threats to the public interest. It also explains that for contracts involving “gaming,” games of random chance are likely to be contrary to the public interest while games that are impacted by the participants’ skill – such as sports – are likely to be permitted.
What's next? Comments on the proposal are due 45 days following publication in the Federal Register. The proposal follows a March 2026 Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR) containing a number of areas in addition to the public interest determination, including consumer protection considerations, margin requirements, dispute resolution, and whether retail and institutional traders should be subject to different rules. The proposal notes that additional rulemaking may arise from the ANPR.
Regulatory certainty is still far away
While the proposal provides the CFTC’s current thinking around permissibility of events contracts, its view is not necessarily the last word considering the significant amount of litigation and controversy surrounding this issue. The most highly contested area has been sports-related contracts, with at least ten states having filed suit against prediction markets platforms arguing that they (1) circumvent consumer protection, licensing, and responsible gaming requirements embedded in state law and/or (2) fall under the jurisdiction of state gaming regulators rather than the CFTC. The outcomes of these challenges and potential future litigation could meaningfully diverge from the CFTC’s framework, especially considering recent legal changes clarifying that courts – not regulatory agencies – ultimately determine interpretations of statutes such as the CEA.
What should prediction market platforms do now?
Prediction market platforms should expect the self-certification process to become more substantively demanding for contracts involving enumerated activities. The 90-day review process gives the Commission clearer authority to scrutinize certifications, and firms will need product governance documentation will need to support that scrutiny. Specific actions to consider include:
For more, please see our recent publications on prediction markets and market surveillance.
What happened? On June 9th, FDIC Chairman Travis Hill delivered remarks on potential changes to the FDIC’s resolution framework, deposit insurance assessments, and related rules.
What did Hill say? He previewed a number of policy changes, including:
Modernizing the resolution toolkit
Hill’s remarks provide further shape to a clear driving principle: less reliance on exhaustive bank-authored planning documents and more emphasis on the infrastructure, data access, market capacity and execution tools needed to resolve a bank quickly. The most novel piece is the proposed resolution readiness adjustment to deposit insurance assessments. For larger banks, the savings could be significant, but the practical impact will depend on how the FDIC spells out the details of the “and/or” structure Hill outlined . Rapid VDR production is an existing resolution-readiness capability, while temporary agency access to third-party providers and/or bank-internal systems would be more sensitive from an information security, customer data, contractual restriction and liability perspective. The question is whether the FDIC treats them as equivalent options, weights them differently, or uses the assessment adjustment to encourage one over the other.
The clearest forms of relief are the expected unconditional assessment rate reductions and potential Part 370 replacement. The Part 370 changes could provide meaningful burden relief by preserving standardized depositor records while reducing the need for banks to maintain separate deposit insurance computation infrastructure. Together, these changes reflect Hill’s broader review of what is truly necessary given the FDIC’s current capabilities and the state of the Deposit Insurance Fund.
The remaining changes Hill describes are more about execution speed and optionality, reflecting lessons learned from the 2023 failures which showed how technology-enabled deposit mobility can accelerate outflows and compress resolution timelines. More actionable QFC data, faster contracting, a broader advisor bench, expanded nonbank bidder participation, shelf charters, alliance bids and a possible de minimis least-cost exception would give the FDIC more usable information, more market capacity and more execution options before a fast-moving failure constrains the agency’s choices.
White House issues EO on AI innovation and security. On June 2nd, the White House issued an executive order (EO) outlining a strategy to promote advanced artificial intelligence innovation while strengthening cybersecurity and national security safeguards. The EO directs federal agencies to prioritize AI-enabled cyber defense and expand access to cybersecurity tools for federal agencies, state and local authorities and critical infrastructure operators, including community banks. The order also directs Treasury, NSA and CISA to form an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse with industry and critical infrastructure operators to coordinate software vulnerability scanning, validation, remediation and patch distribution. Separately, it calls for a voluntary framework for AI developers to work with the federal government on providing limited pre-release access to covered frontier models, while stating that the framework does not create a mandatory licensing or preclearance regime for AI model development or release.
FSB releases report on AI sound practices. On June 10th, the Financial Stability Board (FSB) released a consultative report on sound practices for AI implementation across a number of areas including governance, risk management, model selection, human oversight, cybersecurity and third-party risk.
White House nominates CFPB Director. On June 10th, the White House nominated Brian Johnson to be Director of the CFPB. Johnson served as Deputy Director of the agency from December 2017 to March 2020 and has since worked in private industry.
Agencies continue to remove references to reputation risk in interagency guidance. On June 2nd, the Fed, FDIC, and OCC issued a joint release announcing updates to interagency supervisory documents to eliminate references to reputation risk. The changes are intended to reinforce the shift away from using reputation risk in supervision and to ensure supervisory decisions are based on material financial risks, with additional document updates expected.
SEC proposes amendments to Regulation NMS. On June 11th, the SEC proposed rescinding two core Regulation NMS requirements: Rule 611, which prohibits trade-throughs of protected quotations, and Rule 610(e), which restricts locked and crossed markets. The proposal would also rescind related defined terms and make conforming changes to Regulation NMS and other SEC rules. The SEC said the 2005 rules are no longer needed in today’s more automated and interconnected equity markets and have contributed to market structure complexity, costs, limited order handling flexibility and trading fragmentation. Comments will be due 60 days after publication in the Federal Register.
OCC issues Interpretive Letter preempting state money transmitter laws. On June 10th, the OCC released an interpretive letter confirming that a national bank does not have to comply with Iowa’s money transmitter licensing rules as these were preempted by federal law, and further, that they did not constitute consumer protection laws and therefore do not require a preemption determination under 12 U.S.C. § 25b.
NCUA publishes interim final rule on preemption of non-interest fees. On June 9th, the NCUA published in the Federal Register an interim final rule clarifying that federal credit unions have authority to charge non-interest fees, including interchange fees, and that such authority preempts conflicting state laws. The rule is effective June 30th, 2026.
NYDFS proposes stablecoin regulation framework. On June 9th, the New York Department of Financial Services issued a proposal for the regulation of state-chartered stablecoin issuers. The proposal largely tracks the GENIUS Act’s requirements, including requirements such as 1:1 reserves held in highly liquid assets, monthly reserve disclosures, and maintenance of an operational backstop. Comments are due by June 22nd.
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