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Financial services firms may say they’re planning for an AI-enabled workforce, but most really aren’t. They’re often planning for a smaller workforce—and hoping AI fills the gap.
There’s a difference between modeling how many people you can cut and designing the workforce you’ll actually need. Among financial services leaders, 42% say they’ve done high-level modeling to understand the changes in labor capacity from AI across their entire company, and nearly eight in 10 expect their workforce to shrink by at least 20% over the next five years.
But far fewer have taken the harder next steps of defining what new roles look like (and what skills will likely be required), redesigning talent pipelines for a world with fewer entry-level workers, and building career paths that can develop AI-fluent leaders from the ground up. Of those with some workforce modeling in place, only 50% have looked at the impact of redesigning processes or workflows to account for AI.
How is AI changing workforce planning in financial services? We recently surveyed more than 1,000 leaders at US financial services firms about their use of AI, and the results give a clear picture of how their expectations for employees are changing. They want people to use AI, they’ll provide them training and upskilling, and—notably—they’ll pay them more.
Here are the key findings from our survey.
Nearly three-fourths of the executives we surveyed say their organization is moving faster to remain competitive, yet an even greater share say they’re not moving fast enough to keep pace with AI innovation.
Regulatory and compliance requirements are part of the reason, creating disincentives for firms to radically reshape their businesses. But leaders have more direct control over another factor slowing organizations down: employee hesitancy due to concerns about job losses, continued change, and other factors. Forty-four percent say that employees are concerned about job security or role changes from AI, 43% say employees use AI only when required rather than proactively, and 40% say employees feel overwhelmed by the pace of AI-driven change.
In a related finding, 34% of leaders point to change fatigue as a key barrier preventing their firms from scaling AI across the workforce.
The value that companies see in AI is filtering down to employee paychecks. Ninety-one percent say they’re increasing compensation for employees with AI skills. More than half (58%) say they will tie compensation directly to AI-enabled productivity. Perhaps most surprising, 86% agree that AI skills training is more valuable than an MBA for many new hires.
PwC’s recent AI Jobs Barometer shows similar findings. AI professionalizes some jobs, by reshaping them to require even more human expertise, in areas like critical thinking, team-building, and creative problem-solving. Compared with “democratized” jobs (which AI can make it easier for non-experts to perform), professionalized jobs are thriving, growing twice as fast in terms of volume and showing 42% higher wage growth.
To source these skills, our survey shows that FS firms are taking several steps.
What this means for FS executives:
To be clear, some employee concerns about job security are valid. Financial executives say they are modeling the impact of AI on workforce capacity. Most have at least started this process, and 42% say they’ve done enterprise-wide modeling—a number that will likely go up over time as capabilities improve and as the implications of AI on workforces start to become clearer.
One aspect potentially holding them back is data. When asked about the biggest barriers to scaling AI across the workforce, 41% of FS leaders cited fragmented or low-quality data, more than any other issue, meaning they won’t be able to model the impact of AI, assess the taxonomy of roles and skills, and determine what can be agentified without better data.
Even at the current level of modeling, however, most executives have concluded that they’ll need fewer people. Nearly eight in 10 say that their workforce will shrink by at least 20% over the next five years. Among layers of the organization, 30% point to entry-level roles as most vulnerable to disruption from AI, followed by middle management (26%). A recent analysis from PwC says workforce reshaping is likely unavoidable, but reduction should follow strategy, not substitute for it.
What this means for FS executives:
Over the past year, many firms have focused their AI workforce efforts on improving productivity (cited by 49% of executives), reducing time on routine work (48%), and integrating AI into day-to-day workflows (46%). Among functions, leaders see the biggest productivity gains in technology and software engineering, risk management, and operations.1
But some firms still struggle to see the financial impact from their large-scale AI investments. Seventy-seven percent say that most AI investments are not delivering measurable ROI. How should firms measure the workforce value of AI? Look at areas like productivity and adoption ahead of financial metrics like cost savings or revenue growth.
Delivering on the promise of AI requires baseline measures that companies have long applied to other technology initiatives, things like benchmarking performance, setting targets, and building a clear business case before funding. The current enthusiasm for AI may have pushed some organizations to short-circuit this and take a me-too approach to implementation, without clear business metrics in place. Instead, sector leaders will likely benefit from a willingness to move fast and adopt an innovation mindset to learn through experience.
What this means for FS executives:
On governance, the survey results show a mixed picture. The good news? Nearly nine in 10 executives say their firm has clear ownership and accountability for AI agent decisions.
Digging one level deeper into the numbers, there’s no consensus on which role owns the risk of material harm from AI agents.
That wide disparity reflects the nascent state of AI governance, and how firms are still sorting through the risk implications. More troubling, employees are resorting to “shadow AI” at work—using their own tools and solutions rather than enterprise-approved options. More than half of respondents say this happens to a moderate extent, 35% say it happens to a significant extent, and 90% say that employees using AI products outside of centrally governed tools created regulatory risk.
What this means for FS executives:
PwC surveyed 1,004 executives at financial services firms with at least $500 million in revenue, all director-level or above, May 12–22, 2026. The respondents were equally split between asset and wealth management, banking and capital markets, insurance, and private equity.
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