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Powering the nation: Indonesian Power Industry Survey 2026

Explore the opportunities, challenges, and investment priorities across Indonesia's power sector and renewable energy transition.

Indonesia's power sector at a glance

Indonesia's electricity sector is entering a new phase of growth driven by rising electricity demand, industrialisation, electrification, and renewable energy investment. The latest Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) places private-sector participation at the centre of future capacity expansion, creating significant opportunities for investors, developers, financiers, and policymakers.

While respondents remain positive about the sector's long-term outlook, they also highlight challenges related to procurement, project bankability, Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) negotiations, regulatory implementation, and renewable energy pricing. Addressing these issues will be critical to attracting investment and accelerating project delivery across Indonesia's power sector.

Gap in Indonesia’s renewable power potential, installed capacity, and targets

71%

of planned generation capacity is expected to be allocated to Independent Power Producers (IPPs).

IDR278T

in average annual investment is required from 2025 to 2034.

63%

do not consider the current ceiling price an effective incentive for renewable energy investment.

50%

say the absence of technology-specific storage pricing significantly reduces project viability.

What you need to know

Five priorities for Indonesia's power sector

Financing expectations put bankability in focus

Investor return expectations provide insight into how developers, investors, and lenders evaluate power-project opportunities in Indonesia. Most respondents expect project internal rates of return of 8-10% in USD and 12–14% in IDR. Expected equity returns are higher, at 12–14% in USD and  16–18% in IDR (see Chart 1.1).

The typical USD cost of debt for IPP investment, assuming a 10–15-year tenor and sponsor recourse, was estimated at 6–8%. These findings underline the importance of considering financing costs, currency exposure, contractual certainty, and risk allocation when setting project terms and electricity purchase prices (see Chart 1.2).

Chart 1.1 Required returns for investment in Indonesian IPP projects

Chart 1.2 Cost of debt for Indonesian IPP investment

Commercial terms that do not adequately reflect financing costs and project risks may struggle to attract capital.

Regulation needs to work in practice

Indonesia has introduced several regulatory measures intended to support renewable energy development and strengthen the position of IPPs. While these reforms provide an important foundation, respondents continue to identify opportunities to improve project delivery, investment certainty and renewable energy deployment.

When asked which policy measures would have the greatest impact on attracting private investment, respondents most frequently identified PPA and procurement reform, adjustments to renewable energy purchase prices, and improvements to land permitting and social acceptance (see Chart 2.1).

Chart 2.1 Priorities for attracting renewable energy investment in Indonesia

Clear policy is only part of the answer; investors also need consistent implementation, accessible incentives and predictable project processes.

Greater transparency could shorten the path to delivery

Procurement transparency and predictability remain important concerns for power-project developers. The largest share of respondents rated PLN’s procurement process three out of five for transparency, while 26% regarded the process as non-transparent. Respondents particularly cited clarity around tender evaluation, schedules, and PLN’s owner’s cost estimate. (see Chart 3.1).

Chart 3.2 What could improve power-project procurement?

Chart 3.1 How transparent is PLN's procurement process?

Time is another significant constraint. Lengthy negotiations and approval processes were the most frequently identified barrier in procurement and PPA development. Respondents’ preferred improvements include transparent, time-bound negotiations, clearer roles for strategic partners, and stronger project-data readiness from PLN. (see Chart 3.2).

Procurement predictability affects more than timing; it also influences bid quality, financing certainty and project cost.

Bankable PPAs need clarity, consistency and flexibility

The Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is one of the most important contractual foundations of a power project. Respondents continue to identify lengthy negotiations, unclear risk allocation and the absence of a standard template as barriers to efficient project development, highlighting the importance of clear and commercially workable contract provisions.

Take-or-pay levels, carbon-credit provisions, and grid-connectivity and infrastructure requirements were each selected by 24% of respondents as areas requiring clearer PPA treatment (see Chart 4.1).

Chart 4.1 Which PPA provisions need greater clarity?

The objective is not to make every PPA identical, but to create a consistent and lender-tested framework with clear room for project-specific terms.

Renewable energy pricing needs to reflect project costs and technology

Survey respondents indicated that renewable energy pricing remains a significant factor affecting project viability, investment decisions, and the development of energy-storage projects. Half of respondents say the existing PLN purchase-price structure has a negative effect on project financial viability, while a further 11% describe the effect as very negative (see chart 5.1). In addition, 63% do not regard the ceiling price under PR No. 112/2022 as a mechanism that sufficiently encourages renewable energy investment (see chart 5.2).

Chart 5.1 How does the current PLN purchase-price structure affect project viability?

Chart 5.2  Does the current ceiling price encourage renewable energy investment?

Chart 5.3 Which renewable energy pricing mechanism do the respondents prefer?

Feed-in tariffs were the most frequently preferred alternative, selected by 45% of respondents. Price-adjustment mechanisms followed at 19%, while feed-in premiums and ceiling tariffs with floor prices each received 16% (see Chart 5.3).

Storage requires separate attention. More than 10GW of storage is planned by 2034, but Indonesia does not yet have a dedicated PLN purchase-price framework for standalone BESS and PHES projects. Half of respondents say this significantly reduces financial viability, while 34% say it increases uncertainty and risk (see Chart 5.4).

Chart 5.4 How does the lack of dedicated storage pricing affect project viability?

Pricing frameworks need to recognise that renewable generation and storage technologies perform different functions and carry different costs and risks.

Powering the nation: Indonesian Power Industry Survey 2026

Explore the full findings and industry perspectives.

Video 06/10/26

Powering the nation: Indonesian Power Industry Survey 2026

Powering the nation: Indonesian Power Industry Survey 2026 explores the opportunities and challenges in Indonesia’s energy transition. Developed by PwC Indonesia with APLSI, it shares industry perspectives on investment, renewable energy, energy security and economic growth.

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About the survey

Developed by PwC Indonesia and the Indonesian Independent Power Producers Association (APLSI), the 2026 survey captures the views of 38 power-industry participants across Indonesia's electricity sector.

The survey examines five areas affecting power-project development: investor returns, regulations, procurement, Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), and PLN purchase prices, providing industry perspectives on investment and project delivery across Indonesia's power sector.


Contact our power and utilities specialists

Sacha Winzenried

Advisor, PwC Indonesia

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Yanto Kamarudin

Energy, Utilities, and Resources Assurance Partner, PwC Indonesia

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Antonius Sanyojaya

Energy, Utilities, and Resources Tax Partner, PwC Indonesia

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Joshua R Wahyudi

Energy, Utilities, and Resources Deals Partner, PwC Indonesia

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