2026 mid-year outlook

Global M&A trends in consumer markets

Global M&A trends in consumer markets hero image
  • Insight
  • 11 minute read
  • June 23, 2026

Consumer markets M&A in 2026 splits between ‘must have’ assets and no-bidder businesses as portfolio reviews, succession, and private equity backlogs shape the next wave of deal supply.

by Hervé Roesch


The takeaways

  • Megadeals now account for 47% of consumer markets' deal value, up from 23% in 2024, even as 2026 volumes are on track to decline 12% across sectors this year.
  • Capital is concentrating around ‘must-have’ assets with resilient demand, category leadership, stronger customer access, or greater supply chain control. 
  • Portfolio reviews, take-privates, succession planning, and pressure to clear private equity exit backlogs could open new supply for buyers in the second half of 2026 and beyond.

Polarisation grows in consumer markets M&A

Consumer markets M&A entered 2026 with early momentum, but activity has become more concentrated. Macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical volatility, and persistent valuation gaps continue to weigh on confidence, extending deal timelines and driving discipline among buyers. The market has not stalled, but it is diverging more sharply between the assets that attract strong buyer interest and those that struggle to find bidders.

In the first half of 2026, megadeals (transactions valued at more than $5bn) have supported deal value despite a decline in activity across all consumer sectors. Based on activity through May 2026, overall deal volumes are on track to decline by 12% in 2026, while deal values are down only 3%, supported by a small number of large transactions such as McCormick’s proposed $44.8bn combination with Unilever’s food business. Megadeals now account for 47% of consumer markets’ deal value, up from 39% in 2025 and 23% in 2024. The share has doubled over two years, pointing to a market in which large, high-conviction transactions are still getting done, while the mid-market remains more constrained. This mirrors the K-shaped M&A dynamics we discuss in our broader mid-year deals outlook.

This polarisation is shaping the outlook for the second half of the year. Buyers are focused on resilient assets offering category leadership, access to attractive consumer demand pools, stronger consumer relationships, or greater control over supply chains. At the same time, portfolio reviews, take-private opportunities, succession planning, and the potential easing of private equity exit backlogs could create a broader pipeline of assets for dealmakers that are prepared to act.

‘There is less room for average in consumer M&A. Companies that are not obvious must-have assets need to refocus their portfolios, improve execution, and make the deal thesis easier for buyers to underwrite. Importantly, they also need to be realistic on value.’

Hervé Roesch,Global Consumer Markets Deals Leader, PwC UK

Key themes driving consumer markets M&A in the second half of 2026

Consumer dealmaking is constrained, but not stalled

Consumer markets dealmaking is highly sensitive to shifts in confidence, disposable income, and the cost of capital. Geopolitical tensions, trade disruption, and sustained inflation are continuing to influence consumer behaviour and challenge business performance. For buyers, that makes it harder to assess growth potential. For sellers, it makes it harder to defend value expectations.

The result is a more cautious market, particularly outside the largest transactions. Deal processes are taking longer as buyers scrutinise growth assumptions, margin durability, and execution risk. Private equity firms also continue to face pressure on exits, with valuation gaps and a slower IPO market limiting routes to liquidity. That is weighing on deal flow, especially in the mid-market.

That caution has not stopped dealmaking. Public-to-private transactions remain an active part of the market as financial sponsors look for consumer businesses they believe are undervalued by public markets. 

Capital is concentrating around must-have assets

In the current dealmaking environment, the strongest assets give buyers a specific reason to act. That may be a leading brand, science-backed claims, or exposure to growth areas such as health and wellness. It may also come from serving consumers at the premium end of the market, or through scale and efficiency at the value end. 

Scale still matters, but the strongest deal rationales are more specific than size alone: category expansion, customer access, stronger channels, and greater control over supply chains. Assets that support these priorities can still attract capital. Those that cannot may need to sharpen their deal thesis before going to market. 

Structural change could unlock a new supply of deals

While buyers remain selective, several structural forces could expand the supply of assets coming to market. Corporate portfolio reviews are continuing as companies sharpen where they can win, which categories still fit, and where capital can be better deployed. That is extending divestiture activity into areas that were previously more insulated, including parts of beverages, luxury, and other consumer subsectors where growth, margin, or strategic fit are being reassessed.

Pressure is also building in parts of the market that relied on assumptions made in a very different environment. Some private equity-owned assets are reaching the limits of holding-period extensions, while overleveraged businesses and weaker operators are facing higher financing costs, changing consumer behaviour, and new sources of competition. These changes may create additional opportunities for distressed M&A, particularly for buyers with the capital and operational capability to manage special situations.

AI is also influencing the sector, even if it is not yet a primary driver of deal theses. It is changing how consumers discover products, compare options, and make purchases while raising the value of proprietary data, loyalty programmes, and direct customer relationships. That puts more pressure on consumer companies to modernise channels, strengthen data foundations, and protect access to the customer.

Succession is another important source of future supply for dealmakers. Across many markets, a generation of founder-led and family-owned businesses is approaching transition, creating opportunities for investors to bring long-term capital, operational expertise, and strategy support. The pipeline may take time to develop, but we expect to see more assets coming to market from owners seeking simplification, liquidity, or succession solutions. For dealmakers, the advantage will go to those who identify potential targets early, build relationships before assets come to market, and develop a value creation plan before competitive processes begin. As more opportunities emerge from carve-outs, restructurings, consolidations, and succession situations, execution capability will matter as much as deal appetite.

Key sectors to watch in consumer markets M&A in the second half of 2026

Consumer health brings together portfolio focus, resilient demand, and rising wellness spend. PwC’s 2026 Voice of the Consumer survey found that 82% of consumers are interested in nutrition, supplements, and personal-care products to support their health and wellness goals, while 63% are interested in health insights and diagnostics.

As pharmaceutical companies focus on prescription pipelines, they are increasingly reviewing their portfolios and divesting non-core assets such as over the counter (OTC) and consumer health assets. These categories have attractive growth characteristics, making them appealing to both corporate and private equity buyers. Consumer buyers see particular potential in these assets because they can combine trusted brands with marketing, distribution, and consumer engagement capabilities. 

Suntory’s $1.6bn acquisition of Daiichi Sankyo Healthcare , with its portfolio of OTC and other consumer health products, reflects this trend. For Suntory, the deal is intended to expand its business across the self-care and self-medication domains, ranging from prevention to the management and treatment of health conditions.

Other deals point to the same strategic logic. The Clorox Company’s $2.25bn acquisition of GOJO Industries adds the Purell brand and expands Clorox into adjacent health and hygiene categories, reinforcing how trusted brands and everyday health routines remain attractive to strategic buyers.

As consumers take a more active role in managing their health, assets with trusted brands, product credibility, and scalable consumer channels are likely to remain high on the M&A agenda.

In beauty, buyer interest is refocusing on assets that can support their claims with science, professional credibility, and premium positioning. Growth remains attractive, but the category is more crowded, and consumers are becoming more discerning. Brands that can demonstrate efficacy, loyalty, and pricing power are more likely to attract capital.

Henkel’s $1.4bn acquisition of Olaplex shows how this is playing out. Olaplex is built on patented technology and has credibility with the professional salon community, giving Henkel a science-led premium hair care brand with potential for growth. The deal shows how buyers are looking beyond brand awareness alone, placing greater value on intellectual property, trusted product performance, and channels that reinforce consumer confidence.  

Food and beverage M&A is being shaped by two related pressures: the need to sharpen portfolios and the need to respond to changing consumption patterns. Strategic buyers are focusing capital on categories where they can build leadership, strengthen margins, and stay relevant with consumers who are more health- and value-conscious and more selective about what they buy.

McCormick’s proposed $44.8bn combination with Unilever’s food business illustrates the portfolio point from both sides of the transaction. For McCormick, the deal would add premium brands and global scale in condiments and packaged foods, creating a category leader with broader reach across retail and food service channels. For Unilever, the divestiture would sharpen its focus on beauty, personal care, and home care, the categories it has identified as core to future growth.

Changes in consumer choices are also affecting how buyers assess food and beverage assets. GLP-1s are one important part of that movement, but not the only one. PwC’s 2026 Voice of the Consumer survey found that consumers expect to increase their consumption of fresh produce and vitamins and supplements over the next 12 months while reducing their consumption of processed or high-sugar foods and alcoholic beverages. Current GLP-1 users also report higher levels of meal planning, protein monitoring, and overall spending on health and wellness products.

While not a new consideration for the sector, it is an increasingly important one since GLP-1s began gaining more widespread use. As a result, food and beverage companies have been reviewing portfolios, reformulating products, and assessing exposure to categories where portion sizes, sugar content, or snacking occasions may come under pressure. For investors, these are changing how food and beverage targets are assessed. Buyers are looking closely at exposure to healthier consumption, value-seeking behaviour, portion control, functional benefits, and category resilience. Assets aligned with those shifts are likely to attract stronger interest, while brands more exposed to declining or pressured consumption occasions may face harder questions.

Retail M&A is being influenced by pressure on operating models, increasingly value-conscious consumers, and rapidly changing purchasing patterns. In this environment, scale still matters, but the more important question is whether a deal gives the buyer better access to customers, stronger channels, or data that can improve engagement, fulfilment, and loyalty.

Sysco’s proposed $29.1bn acquisition of Jetro Restaurant Depot illustrates this trend. The transaction would combine the largest US food service distributor with a leading cash-and-carry wholesaler, giving Sysco access to a higher-margin channel with strong growth prospects and a broader base of independent restaurant customers.

eBay’s proposed $1.2bn acquisition of Depop, a mobile-first fashion marketplace with a highly engaged Gen Z and Millennial customer base, illustrates how digital retail M&A is increasingly valuing factors such as audience, engagement, and customer relationships alongside inventory, infrastructure, and brand reach. 

As buying habits shift across stores, marketplaces, social platforms, and AI-enabled search, retailers are using M&A to add channels, reach younger or more loyal customers, and gain better insight into how people shop.

Travel and hospitality remain attractive areas for M&A, but the market is becoming more selective. Affluent consumers continue to spend on experiences, supporting demand for luxury hotels, resorts, and curated travel. But geopolitical volatility, higher travel costs, and more-cautious vacation planning are tempering momentum, particularly for assets more exposed to discretionary or international demand.

For buyers, the focus is on assets that can translate demand into pricing power and repeat experiences. BDT & MSD Partners’ acquisition of the Four Seasons Resort Orlando and Four Seasons Resort and Residences Jackson Hole from Host Hotels & Resorts for $1.1bn reflects continued interest in high-quality luxury hospitality assets serving affluent consumers who are prioritising curated, high-end experiences.

The next phase of travel and hospitality M&A will likely remain concentrated around assets with clear differentiation. That includes premium lodging; wellness-led resorts; loyalty-rich platforms; and technology that improves guest engagement, pricing, or distribution. If geopolitical pressures ease, more assets could come to market, but buyers are still likely to focus on businesses with strong growth prospects and where value creation potential exists.

The need for scale, network resilience, and greater control across supply chains is shaping transport and logistics M&A. The sector is already showing momentum: in the first five months of 2026, transportation, shipping, rail, and logistics matched the full-year 2025 total of nine deals valued at more than $1bn. Volatility in trade routes, geopolitical tension, and changing sourcing patterns are increasing demand for and the value of assets that improve coverage, capacity, and reliability.

Early 2026 activity shows buyers pursuing assets that strengthen networks and deepen operational control. Hapag-Lloyd’s proposed $4.2bn acquisition of ZIM would expand route coverage across major trade lanes and strengthen its global shipping network. It also signals a broader push by larger carriers to lock in scale while independent mid-tier operators remain available. Other transactions point to the same logic, from port terminal investments to aviation services and intermodal assets.

For dealmakers, transportation and logistics assets with specialised capabilities are likely to remain attractive. That includes port infrastructure; cold chain; healthcare logistics; aviation services; last-mile delivery; and technology that improves visibility, routing, or utilisation. As companies continue to rethink supply chains, buyers are likely to prioritise assets that improve resilience.

M&A outlook for consumer markets in the second half of 2026

Consumer M&A is likely to remain constrained, but opportunities are still emerging for buyers with focus and conviction. Dealmakers should focus on early origination, pressure-test the value creation plan before approaching targets, and be ready to move when must-have assets come to market.

Our commentary on M&A trends is based on the sources noted below, together with PwC’s independent research and analysis. Certain adjustments may have been made to source data to align with PwC’s industry classifications. All deal value amounts are in US dollars, unless otherwise noted. Megadeals are defined as transactions valued at more than $5bn. 

Global consumer markets deal value and volume data referenced in this publication are based on officially announced transactions, excluding rumoured and withdrawn transactions, through 31 May 2026, as provided by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG). Data was accessed between 29 May and 2 June 2026. 

2026e is a PwC estimate based on the first five months of 2026. May 2026 data has been adjusted to reflect a reporting lag and the five-month period has been extrapolated to a full-year estimate to improve year-on-year comparability. 2026e does not represent a PwC forecast.

Hervé Roesch is PwC’s global consumer markets deals leader and a partner with PwC UK. 

The author would like to thank the following PwC and Strategy& colleagues for their contributions: Sabine Durand-Hayes, Fabrizio Franco de Belvis, Anne-Lise Glauser, Lisa Hooker, Rick Jones, Daisuke Nodera, Emanuela Pettenò, Michelle Pickett, Mike Ross, Vineet Satija, and Christian Wulff. Special thanks also to Elena Girlich for her overall support.

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