The Middle East’s EUR sector continued to advance its twin priorities of expanding renewable and low‑carbon assets while reinforcing the competitiveness of hydrocarbons and associated downstream systems. This balanced approach, embedded within national net‑zero and industrial decarbonisation frameworks, once again shaped dealmaking across the region. Sector activity was selective but stronger year on year, with 34 transactions, up about 17% from 29 the previous year, as investors prioritised scale platforms that hard‑wire efficiency and resilience into national energy systems.
PwC research shows that between now and 2035, physical climate risks such as extreme heat, water stress, drought, and flooding can reduce The Middle East’s GDP growth by 13.9 percentage points. Understandably, governments and national champions have deepened their focus on transition-enabling infrastructure, including cooling networks, operations and maintenance platforms, industrial energy efficiency, water and waste management, and gas-to-clean pathways – reflecting a growing recognition of climate risk as an economic variable. Boardroom sentiment increasingly reflects this reality, reinforcing the strategic shift toward infrastructure and systems that protect long-term growth, resilience, and economic performance.
The market is becoming increasingly attractive to global PE mega and infrastructure funds, looking to capitalise on the underlying energy transition trends. Ongoing ERS assets’ monetisation policy implemented by national oil companies (NOCs) across the region presents further opportunities for capital deployment in well-established operational platforms, also allowing for further co-investment themes within the ERS space. Ongoing pressure on the traditional ERS sub-sectors such as oil field services (OFS) and engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) also presents an opening for alternative asset managers and attracts interest in direct equity and debt-like instrument investments.
Looking ahead, EUR dealmaking in the Middle East is expected to remain oriented towards system‑level infrastructure and utility platforms, with renewables growth increasingly complemented by investments that raise efficiency, reduce loss and strengthen grid and industrial resilience, whilst traditional ERS sub-sector deals are expected on an opportunistic basis as well as to drive capital release and redeployment.