AI's first reality check

What if the future arrives slower than expected?

Hidden costs
  • 3 minute read
  • 05 Oct 2026

For much of the past three years, the story of artificial intelligence has followed a familiar script.

Each month seemed to bring another breakthrough model, another billion-dollar investment round, and another prediction that AI would fundamentally reshape economies, industries, and the future of work. Global investment in AI has surged into the hundreds of billions, while governments around the world have increasingly described AI as a strategic priority tied to competitiveness, national security, and economic growth.

Yet beneath the headlines, a more interesting story may be emerging.

Some of the industry's leading voices have recently begun discussing a challenge that receives far less attention:

What if the next stage of AI progress proves significantly harder than the last?

This creates an unusually contradictory narrative. On one hand, governments are announcing national AI strategies, investing heavily in infrastructure, and competing to attract AI talent and data centre investment. On the other hand, several technology leaders have acknowledged that simply scaling models with more computing power may not deliver the same dramatic improvements seen over recent years. The result is a fascinating tension between expectation and reality.

  • Can the technology consistently deliver value?

  • Can it be trusted for critical decisions?

  • Do the economics justify the investment?

  • Can the supporting infrastructure keep pace with demand?

Artificial intelligence appears to be entering precisely this phase. Despite widespread adoption, many organisations continue to struggle to convert AI experimentation into measurable business outcomes. Productivity gains have often proven harder to quantify than initially anticipated, while concerns around reliability, data quality, governance, and energy consumption continue to attract attention. This gap is also reflected in PwC’s 2026 AI performance study. Based on a global survey of 1,217 senior executives across 25 sectors, the study found that the top 20% of organisations captured 74% of AI-driven economic value. The findings suggest that adoption alone is not enough: measurable returns are concentrating among organisations that connect AI to growth and business reinvention while strengthening foundations in data, governance, and trust.

At the same time, geopolitical priorities are increasingly influencing the direction of AI development. Different countries are pursuing different approaches to regulation, investment, access to advanced semiconductors, and technological sovereignty. AI is no longer simply a technology story. It has become an economic, political, and strategic story as well.

Perhaps that is why the future of AI has become both more uncertain and more intriguing. The biggest question may no longer be whether AI will transform society.

It is whether the next chapter will be defined by exponential technological breakthroughs, practical implementation challenges, geopolitical competition, or all three at the same time.

One thing is certain, the AI story is becoming considerably more complex than the headlines suggest.

ai strategies

How can we help?

At PwC Malta we support you in understanding emerging technology trends and navigating the opportunities and challenges associated with AI adoption. By combining expertise in technology, cyber security, governance and digital transformation, we help you turn AI developments into informed business decisions and sustainable value creation.

Our range of services covers offerings that enhance operational performance, accelerate innovation, and maximise technology investments. We provide digital strategy, design, implementation and support of ERP systems, cybersecurity services, data and AI solutions, bespoke software development, and IT managed services. Focused on helping businesses to reduce unnecessary expenditure, drive strategic growth initiatives, and unlock new opportunities for sustainable revenue generation.

This article was drafted with the support of Pouvarajen Canjamalay, a senior cyber GRC consultant within our digital services team.

Stay up to date with our latest

thought leadership

Contact us

Andrew Schembri

Andrew Schembri

Digital Services Partner, PwC Malta

Tel: +356 7921 1355

Kirsten  Cremona

Kirsten Cremona

Director, Digital Services, PwC Malta

Tel: +356 7975 6911

Jake  Azzopardi

Jake Azzopardi

Senior Manager, Digital Services, PwC Malta

Tel: +356 7975 6974

Follow us