Navigating the Shockwaves​ Managing Treasury & Working Capital Risk​ in Vietnam's New Economic Reality

Navigating the Shockwaves​

Managing Treasury & Working Capital Risk​ in Vietnam's New Economic Reality

Vietnamese enterprises are under sustained pressure from ongoing macroeconomic shocks​

West Asia War & Hormuz Bottleneck
  • Hormuz ship transits collapsed 93%: from 76/day (Feb 2026) to 5/day (Apr 2026) 
  • Brent crude: US$68/bbl (Apr 2025) → US$117/bbl (Apr 2026) - +72% YoY; IEA calls this "the largest oil supply disruption in history”
  • US-Iran ceasefire described as 'on massive life support' (Trump, 11 May 2026) - re-escalation risk remains elevated; no resolution timeline in sight
Vietnam: The Numbers Are Already Moving​
+12.48%​

Consumer Price Index (CPI) Transportation spike YoY, May 2026

+77.8%​

Petroleum imports value surge YoY, Q1 2026​

+ 98.8%​

Surge in enterprise dissolutions YoY, Q1 2026​

+1 – 2%​

Commercial lending rate hike YoY, Apr 2026 ​

How the shock travels from Hormuz to your finances

Four concurrent risk channels are putting pressure on margins, liquidity, and funding capacity at the same time. Each can be managed individually, but when combined and left unmanaged, they can materially weaken a company’s financial resilience.

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Most exposed sectors
Transportation & logistics​

Directly hit by higher oil, rerouting, freight disruption, and longer lead times. Fuel cost, freight cost, margin compression​

Manufacturing (B2B)​

Exposed across multiple pressure points - raw material costs, freight, FX on imports, receivables risk, and covenant pressure as EBIT declines

Retail / Consumer​

Margins are squeezed from both sides - rising input costs and weakening consumer demand​

How to Release Cash and Strengthen Treasury Resilience?

We have identified six levers, actionable within 3–6 months, to release trapped cash, manage cost and currency risk, and build treasury resilience against ongoing macroeconomic pressure.

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Tighten credit terms, enforce collections discipline and deploy invoice financing to monetise outstanding AR​.

The gap between agreed terms and actual collection is where significant cash hides; invoice financing converts that delay into immediate cash.​

Extend supplier payment terms and deploy supply chain finance so suppliers receive early payment while your outflow is deferred​.

Done well, this lever can release more cash than a new credit facility - at zero incremental financing cost and without straining supplier relationships.​

Review facility covenants, diversify banking relationships and secure or renew credit lines - with asset disposal as a structured last resort​

Banks are quietly becoming sector-selective in energy-exposed industries. Diversifying funding sources now gives CFOs more options when refinancing pressure mounts.​

Liquidate slow-moving stock, right-size safety buffers, explore vendor-managed replenishment and inventory financing against held stock​

Inventory built for supply chain uncertainty is now your most expensive asset, held at today's elevated input costs— financing it can release cash without depleting it.​

Establish a hedging policy, lock forward FX rates on USD payables and implement commodity price protection on key inputs​

Most Vietnamese businesses carry full oil and FX exposure with no structured hedge programme - a gap manageable at US$68/bbl but a material treasury risk at ~100 US$/bbl​.

Implement real-time cash dashboards, integrate ERP data feeds and automate daily cash positioning across all business units​

Most finance teams are making cash decisions on data that is 30–45 days old. In a market moving at this pace, that is not a forecast, it is history.​

Is This Urgent For You?

Do a Quick Self-Assessment​ to learn if your business is likely holding significant trapped cash.

Cashflow Risks — Quick Self-Assessment

Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) Benchmarking Request Form

Case studies

Inventory-led working capital improvement

Client is a major savoury snacks manufacturer with a broad portfolio including potato chips, nuts, specialty snacks, and baked products, with operations organised into 11 management units across Europe and three manufacturing sites in Vietnam.

The client engaged PwC to review working capital levels to unlock cash and assess treasury maturity to improve transparency across its operating companies.

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EBITDA and working capital improvement​

Client is a Vietnamese luxury fashion retailer operating multiple stores across more than 20 brands in categories spanning jewelry and watches, apparel, and footwear.

The client engaged PwC to support them address key performance challenges, including low sell-through rates, elevated inventory levels, and low EBITDA.

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Asset disposal strategy

Our client is a global household name in beer manufacturing and a popular brand in Vietnam.

The MNC strategically decided to close one of its breweries in Central Vietnam. Thus, the company requested PwC in developing an asset disposal strategy that focuses on maximizing value recovery and optimizing the efficiency of its disposal process. 

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Securing short-term financing

PwC was engaged by a garden tools manufacturer and distributor to identify and select financing options to address its working capital and short‑term funding needs. The client operated with an inventory‑heavy business model and faced long collection cycles from overseas customers.

 

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How PwC Can Help​

~USD 1.4M

freed immediately by reducing your cash conversion cycle by just 5 days on USD 100M revenue

Treasury &

Cash

Risk Scan

A 30-min one-on-one conversation to identify your top treasury and cash improvement priorities. 

Request Now

CCC

Bench-

marking​

We benchmark your DSO, DIO and DPO against Vietnam peers and quantify your opportunity in a focused session.

Request your benchmark

Rapid

Diagnostic​

Engagement

2–3 week rapid assessment delivering an improvement roadmap with quick wins and a 12-month action plan.​

Engage Us

Download full report here

Navigating the Shockwaves:​ ​Managing Treasury & Working Capital Risk​ in Vietnam's New Economic Reality​

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Contact us

Mohammad Mudasser

Director, Deals - Transformation, PwC Vietnam

Tel: +84 28 3823 0796, Ext. 3322

Pratiksha Bhanti

Senior Manager, Deals - Transformation, PwC Vietnam

Tel: +84 28 3823 0796

Luu Chi Nhan

Manager, Working Capital Management, PwC Vietnam

Tel: +84 28 3823 0796

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