The Eurozone crisis has created risks—and new opportunities—so businesses must prepare to navigate the different outcomes that may unfold. The run-up to the spring Greek elections and EU Summit demonstrated how quickly scenarios once nearly unthinkable in the European debt crisis can become realistic. Political developments, economic news, and approaching debt redemptions can trigger fears of a sovereign debt default or a Eurozone exit that could materialize over the course of a weekend.
Four Eurozone scenarios dominated by uncertainty and high volatility
Actual change in Eurozone GDP and projections for four potential scenarios (S1-S4)