European light vehicle assembly growth to be driven by Central Europe
26 July 2006 - Total European light vehicle assembly figures are set to grow by nearly 2.8 million units by 2010, representing a 14% increase, according to findings by the PricewaterhouseCoopers Automotive Institute. Much of this growth will be driven by Central Europe and will be led by Slovakia (429%) and the Czech Republic (81%), which combined will contribute 41% of the expected growth in European light vehicle assembly.
Reflecting a shift towards lower cost assembly bases in Central Europe, traditional Western European automotive assembly markets such as France (3%) and Spain (5%) are expected to see only moderate growth. Assembly in the UK is expected to decline by 16% by the end of the decade.
“Hyundai, whose factory in Nošovice should start production in 2008, with final production capacity being 300 000 cars per year, should contribute the most to the growth in the volume of production in the Czech Republic”, stated Marek Romancov, Senior Manager of Tax and Legal Services at PricewaterhouseCoopers Czech Republic.
Overall Europe will contribute 30% of the 9.1 million units of incremental global assembly growth. But this will only marginally eclipse the expected contribution of China (28%).
Russia is benefiting from localised emerging market capacity investment to meet growing demand. It is expected to grow by 36% from 2005-10 to 1.63 million units.
Germany is set to retain its current position as the largest total unit manufacturer in Europe. Fiat’s resurgence means Italy is expected to grow by 35% from 2005 to 1.35 million units, making it the fourth fastest growing market in Europe.
Christian Martin, European Automotive leader, PricewaterhouseCoopers said:
“As manufacturers and suppliers shift production to Eastern Europe it brings about a whole new set of economic dynamics; both in the territories they withdraw from, as well as those they enter in to.”
END
Notes to the editor:
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European Light Vehicle Assembly 2005-2010
Global
Size Rank |
Country
(EU/EE Top 20) |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
3 |
Germany |
5,214,765 |
5,143,448 |
5,171,751 |
5,358,588 |
5,471,574 |
5,609,043 |
6 |
France |
3,500,079 |
3,212,199 |
3,118,181 |
3,378,879 |
3,600,113 |
3,592,922 |
7 |
Spain |
2,647,929 |
2,543,863 |
2,620,021 |
2,494,642 |
2,747,827 |
2,781,597 |
10 |
United Kingdom |
1,775,954 |
1,650,572 |
1,702,921 |
1,687,284 |
1,650,109 |
1,496,285 |
13 |
Russia |
1,200,533 |
1,296,538 |
1,358,839 |
1,428,360 |
1,528,117 |
1,626,759 |
15 |
Italy |
1,000,509 |
1,178,398 |
1,249,093 |
1,339,788 |
1,326,719 |
1,350,778 |
16 |
Belgium |
894,484 |
913,804 |
962,206 |
961,663 |
978,882 |
970,694 |
18 |
Turkey |
828,799 |
886,213 |
862,711 |
910,477 |
1,105,292 |
1,132,570 |
19 |
Poland |
615,874 |
676,643 |
667,024 |
694,285 |
709,883 |
688,786 |
20 |
Czech Republic |
577,339 |
785,170 |
752,554 |
746,821 |
952,757 |
1,045,938 |
27 |
Sweden |
288,540 |
301,339 |
306,968 |
358,444 |
357,854 |
363,120 |
28 |
Austria |
230,248 |
236,782 |
206,514 |
183,960 |
185,973 |
192,565 |
29 |
Portugal |
216,210 |
194,419 |
188,184 |
207,236 |
191,353 |
183,112 |
30 |
Ukraine |
212,832 |
232,424 |
236,287 |
236,154 |
249,587 |
256,598 |
31 |
Romania |
194,609 |
194,268 |
218,918 |
246,791 |
247,463 |
238,687 |
32 |
Slovenia |
177,951 |
119,623 |
128,586 |
169,676 |
146,072 |
132,159 |
34 |
Slovakia |
160,681 |
271,441 |
551,099 |
701,972 |
784,629 |
849,739 |
35 |
Hungary |
147,906 |
204,401 |
261,210 |
287,295 |
266,329 |
247,424 |
37 |
Netherlands |
115,121 |
93,108 |
65,418 |
61,933 |
57,531 |
0 |
38 |
Uzbekistan |
104,375 |
112,807 |
112,430 |
109,559 |
107,203 |
102,131 |
EU/EE Top 20
Total Assembly |
20,104,738 |
20,247,460 |
20,740,915 |
21,563,807 |
22,665,267 |
22,860,907 |
Global Total Assembly |
62,672,407 |
64,505,265 |
66,603,475 |
68,873,581 |
70,861,234 |
71,775,656 |
EU/EE Top 20
(% of Global Total ) |
32.10% |
31.40% |
31.10% |
31.30% |
32.00% |
31.90% |
|
Global Size Rank |
Country ( EU/EE Top 20 ) |
Unit Diff. |
% Chg |
CTG % |
3 |
Germany |
394,278 |
7.60% |
4.30% |
6 |
France |
92,843 |
2.70% |
1.00% |
7 |
Spain |
133,668 |
5.00% |
1.50% |
10 |
United Kingdom |
-279,669 |
-15.70% |
-3.10% |
13 |
Russia |
426,226 |
35.50% |
4.70% |
15 |
Italy |
350,269 |
35.00% |
3.80% |
16 |
Belgium |
76,210 |
8.50% |
0.80% |
18 |
Turkey |
303,771 |
36.70% |
3.30% |
19 |
Poland |
72,912 |
11.80% |
0.80% |
20 |
Czech Republic |
468,599 |
81.20% |
5.10% |
27 |
Sweden |
74,580 |
25.80% |
0.80% |
28 |
Austria |
-37,683 |
-16.40% |
-0.40% |
29 |
Portugal |
-33,098 |
-15.30% |
-0.40% |
30 |
Ukraine |
43,766 |
20.60% |
0.50% |
31 |
Romania |
44,078 |
22.60% |
0.50% |
32 |
Slovenia |
-45,792 |
-25.70% |
-0.50% |
34 |
Slovakia |
689,058 |
428.80% |
7.60% |
35 |
Hungary |
99,518 |
67.30% |
1.10% |
37 |
Netherlands |
-115,121 |
-100.00% |
-1.30% |
38 |
Uzbekistan |
-2,244 |
-2.10% |
0.00% |
EU/EE Top 20 Total Assembly |
2,756,169 |
13.70% |
30.30% |
Global Total Assembly |
9,103,249 |
14.50% |
100.00% |
EU/EE Top 20 (% of Global Total ) |
30.30% |
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Source: PwC Automotive Institute / AUTOFACTS Global Light Vehicle Outlook (2006 Q3 Release)
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