Strategically picking up the pace

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2014 Global Mining Deals outlook

"You will see an uptick in M&A, but it will be smarter, more conservative deals and you will start to see greater use of joint ventures and strategic alliances. You aren't going to see the big dollars in riskier jurisdictions."

Brett Mattison, SVP Corporate Development Strategy and Planning, Gold Fields

The Commodities Dig: 2013 Mid-year M&A activity in review

Click here for a retrospective from industry leaders discussing the state of the mining industry

Deal trends to look for in 2014:

  • Thinking in twos: Expect to see a notable uptick in joint ventures. As opposed to assuming all the risk associated with financing a project, mining companies are using joint ventures as a way to de-risk their projects. Don Lindsay, CEO Teck, is a fan of this approach sharing with us "We're always looking for high quality, sustainable growth opportunities that align with our business objectives. We're open to partnering if the fit is right."
  • Mid-tiers step-up: While many majors will remain sellers of assets, more mid-tier companies will be active buyers in 2014. Brett Mattison, SVP Gold Fields, noted "History has shown that the mid-tiers are probably slightly more aggressive... I think we are going to see them be far more bold."
  • Decision time for juniors: We predict an increase in earn-in-type arrangements in the junior sector, which is positive from an exploration angle and should help increase junior's valuations moving forward. "Now is the right time to build a portfolio of partnerships with junior exploration and development companies", Derek White, CEO KGHM International, shared with PwC.
  • Mines opening: New mines coming into production are providing companies with more money to fund activities such as M&A. Also, the companies' development teams, that just finished bringing these mines into production, are ready to work on new projects. All of this should help to spur M&A in 2014. David Garofalo, CEO Hudbay shared, "It is the process of drilling out new reserves and de-risking mine projects through construction that creates all the value in our industry." He argued for the industry to attract investors companies need to make decisions that will provide investors with leverage to the commodity price.

To read more about what Gold Fields, Hudbay, KGHM, Minmetals and Teck think about mining M&A in 2014 click here to download the full report


To review the 2013 Mining Deals Mid-year Report, Deals in the dumps, click here.

 


Previous reports:

Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report
Download the full PDF.
 
Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report Down, but not out: Global Mining Deals – Analysis of Top 2012 Deals and 2013 Deal Outlook
Download the full PDF.
 
Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report When the going gets tough... Global Mining Deals Mid-Year Report 2012
Download the full PDF.
 
Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report On the road again? Global Mining 2011 Deals Review & 2012 Outlook
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Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report Riders on the Storm... Global mining deals 2011 mid-year update
Download the full PDF.
 
Deals in the dumps - Global Mining Deals: 2013 Mid-Year Report Global Mining Deals 2010
Download the full PDF.